GEV vs UPS: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of GE Vernova Inc. and United Parcel Service, Inc. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-07-25.
GE Vernova Inc. · Industrials
$1,014.75
-16.2% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade C+
VS
United Parcel Service, Inc. · Industrials
$105.00
+12.9% upside to fair value
Grade B
QuantHub Verdict
UPS has more upside to fair value
(+12.9%).
UPS trades at a lower forward P/E
(17.0x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
GEV |
UPS |
| Current Price |
$1,014.75 |
$105.00 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$850.00 |
$118.53 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
-16.2%
|
+12.9%
|
| Market Cap |
$270.3B |
$89.2B |
| Forward P/E |
34.3x
|
17.0x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
25.6x
|
9.6x
|
| Price / Sales |
6.6x
|
1.0x
|
| Price / FCF |
22.0x
|
19.8x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+15.0%
|
-1.6%
|
| Gross Margin |
21.3%
|
17.8%
|
| Operating Margin |
5.9%
|
8.5%
|
| Return on Equity |
30.0%
|
33.0%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0.17% |
0% |
| FCF Yield |
4.5%
|
5.06%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Buy
|
Buy
|
Investment Thesis
GE Vernova is the premier pure-play on the electricity side of the AI infrastructure supercycle. Its Power (heavy-duty gas turbines) and Electrification (grid equipment) segments are structurally supply-constrained, backed by a record $176B backlog that management says is 'mostly sold out through 2030.' The company raised FY2026 guidance for a second straight quarter to $45.5-46.5B revenue and $1…
United Parcel Service, Inc. operates as a global integrated freight and logistics company with a strong presence in U.S. domestic package delivery, international package services, and supply chain solutions. The company benefits from a durable competitive moat supported by its extensive network capabilities, premium service positioning, and strategic focus on higher-margin segments such as health…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
GEV |
UPS |
| Zone Low |
$640.00 |
$88.90 |
| Zone High |
$723.00 |
$100.75 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
No
|