DE vs VST: Which Is the Better Buy?

Side-by-side comparison of Deere & Company and Vistra Corp. β€” fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals. Updated 2026-08-06.
Deere & Company Β· Industrials
$596.74
-29.8% upside to fair value
Grade C High Quality
VS
Vistra Corp. Β· Utilities
$140.58
+20.9% upside to fair value
Med Conviction Grade B
QuantHub Verdict
VST has more upside to fair value (+20.9%). VST trades at a lower forward P/E (15.4x). These are model outputs β€” not personalized investment advice. See all research β†’
Valuation & Fundamentals
Metric DE VST
Current Price $596.74 $140.58
Fair Value Estimate $418.72 $170.00
Upside to Fair Value -29.8% +20.9%
Market Cap $161.1B $47.4B
Forward P/E 33.7x 15.4x
EV / EBITDA 19.0x 9.3x
Price / Sales 3.4x 2.9x
Price / FCF 42.8x 42.5x
Revenue Growth YoY +6.7% +20.0%
Gross Margin 35.4% 12.7%
Operating Margin 18.4% 2.1%
Return on Equity 18.3% 35.0%
Dividend Yield 0% 0.65%
FCF Yield 2.34% 2.4%
Analyst Consensus Hold Strong Buy
Investment Thesis
DE β€” Deere & Company
Deere & Company operates in the agricultural machinery sector, providing durable equipment critical to farming and construction industries. The business quality is high, supported by a strong 18.3% return on equity and solid gross and operating margins of 35.4% and 18.4%, respectively. However, the stock is currently overvalued, trading approximately 30% above its fair value estimate of $418.72, …
VST β€” Vistra Corp.
Vistra is an integrated merchant power producer and retail electricity supplier with roughly 38,700 MW of generation across natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar and battery storage, plus a roughly 4.3 million customer retail book (TXU and affiliated brands) across 20 states. The 2024 Energy Harbor deal made it the second-largest nuclear operator in the US, and that nuclear and gas fleet is now centr…
Accumulation Zones
Metric DE VST
Zone Low $314.04 $128.00
Zone High $355.91 $145.00
In Buy Zone? No Yes
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