CVX vs VST: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of Chevron Corporation and Vistra Corp. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-08-06.
Chevron Corporation · Energy
$175.91
-3.4% upside to fair value
Grade D
VS
Vistra Corp. · Utilities
$140.58
+20.9% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade B
QuantHub Verdict
VST has more upside to fair value
(+20.9%).
VST trades at a lower forward P/E
(15.4x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
CVX |
VST |
| Current Price |
$175.91 |
$140.58 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$169.96 |
$170.00 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
-3.4%
|
+20.9%
|
| Market Cap |
$350.3B |
$47.4B |
| Forward P/E |
30.4x
|
15.4x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
9.4x
|
9.3x
|
| Price / Sales |
1.9x
|
2.9x
|
| Price / FCF |
26.2x
|
42.5x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+3.2%
|
+20.0%
|
| Gross Margin |
25.4%
|
12.7%
|
| Operating Margin |
8.4%
|
2.1%
|
| Return on Equity |
6.2%
|
35.0%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0% |
0.65% |
| FCF Yield |
3.82%
|
2.4%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Buy
|
Strong Buy
|
Investment Thesis
Chevron Corporation operates as a leading integrated oil and gas company within the energy sector, demonstrating medium business quality with a stable competitive position but facing earnings pressure as evidenced by a 36.9% decline in earnings in the most recent quarter. The stock trades at a premium valuation with a P/E trailing and forward of 30.38, EV/EBITDA of 9.41, and a P/FCF of 26.2, refl…
Vistra is an integrated merchant power producer and retail electricity supplier with roughly 38,700 MW of generation across natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar and battery storage, plus a roughly 4.3 million customer retail book (TXU and affiliated brands) across 20 states. The 2024 Energy Harbor deal made it the second-largest nuclear operator in the US, and that nuclear and gas fleet is now centr…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
CVX |
VST |
| Zone Low |
$127.47 |
$128.00 |
| Zone High |
$144.47 |
$145.00 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
Yes
|