CVX vs UPS: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of Chevron Corporation and United Parcel Service, Inc. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-09-24.
Chevron Corporation · Energy
$205.52
+35.9% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade B
High Quality
VS
United Parcel Service, Inc. · Industrials
$99.02
+21.1% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade B
QuantHub Verdict
CVX has more upside to fair value
(+35.9%).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
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Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
CVX |
UPS |
| Current Price |
$205.52 |
$99.02 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$279.29 |
$119.92 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
+35.9%
|
+21.1%
|
| Market Cap |
$409.3B |
$84.1B |
| Forward P/E |
—
|
—
|
| EV / EBITDA |
7.8x
|
10.2x
|
| Price / Sales |
2.0x
|
0.9x
|
| Price / FCF |
15.0x
|
15.3x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+51.4%
|
+7.6%
|
| Gross Margin |
31.0%
|
16.6%
|
| Operating Margin |
15.8%
|
7.3%
|
| Return on Equity |
11.0%
|
29.1%
|
| Dividend Yield |
3.43% |
6.62% |
| FCF Yield |
6.67%
|
6.52%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Buy
|
Hold
|
Investment Thesis
Chevron is a global integrated oil and gas major organized into Upstream and Downstream segments, spanning crude oil and natural gas exploration, LNG processing and transport, refining, petrochemicals, and lubricants, with 43,039 full-time employees and a market capitalization of $409.31 billion at a current price of $205.52. The business quality is high: it generates $13.71 of free cash flow per…
United Parcel Service is the world's largest integrated package delivery and logistics network, operating U.S. Domestic Package and International Package segments with roughly 460,000 employees and a 119-year operating history. The business quality is medium: the global air-and-ground network, brand, and scale are genuine assets, but the company is exposed to commoditized freight, Amazon volume c…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
CVX |
UPS |
| Zone Low |
$209.47 |
$89.94 |
| Zone High |
$237.40 |
$101.93 |
| In Buy Zone? |
Yes
|
Yes
|