CVX vs UPS: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of Chevron Corporation and United Parcel Service, Inc. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-07-09.
Chevron Corporation · Energy
$175.91
-3.4% upside to fair value
Grade D
VS
United Parcel Service, Inc. · Industrials
$105.00
+12.9% upside to fair value
Grade B
QuantHub Verdict
UPS has more upside to fair value
(+12.9%).
UPS trades at a lower forward P/E
(17.0x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
CVX |
UPS |
| Current Price |
$175.91 |
$105.00 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$169.96 |
$118.53 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
-3.4%
|
+12.9%
|
| Market Cap |
$350.3B |
$89.2B |
| Forward P/E |
30.4x
|
17.0x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
9.4x
|
9.6x
|
| Price / Sales |
1.9x
|
1.0x
|
| Price / FCF |
26.2x
|
19.8x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+3.2%
|
-1.6%
|
| Gross Margin |
25.4%
|
17.8%
|
| Operating Margin |
8.4%
|
8.5%
|
| Return on Equity |
6.2%
|
33.0%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0% |
0% |
| FCF Yield |
3.82%
|
5.06%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Buy
|
Buy
|
Investment Thesis
Chevron Corporation operates as a leading integrated oil and gas company within the energy sector, demonstrating medium business quality with a stable competitive position but facing earnings pressure as evidenced by a 36.9% decline in earnings in the most recent quarter. The stock trades at a premium valuation with a P/E trailing and forward of 30.38, EV/EBITDA of 9.41, and a P/FCF of 26.2, refl…
United Parcel Service, Inc. operates as a global integrated freight and logistics company with a strong presence in U.S. domestic package delivery, international package services, and supply chain solutions. The company benefits from a durable competitive moat supported by its extensive network capabilities, premium service positioning, and strategic focus on higher-margin segments such as health…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
CVX |
UPS |
| Zone Low |
$127.47 |
$88.90 |
| Zone High |
$144.47 |
$100.75 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
No
|