CVX vs TSM: Which Is the Better Buy?

Side-by-side comparison of Chevron Corporation and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals. Updated 2026-04-11.
Chevron Corporation · Energy
$188.52
-23.1% upside to fair value
Grade D
VS
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited · Technology
$365.90
-3.8% upside to fair value
Med Conviction Grade B+
QuantHub Verdict
TSM has more upside to fair value (-3.8%). CVX trades at a lower forward P/E (22.9x). These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice. See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
Metric CVX TSM
Current Price $188.52 $365.90
Fair Value Estimate $145.00 $352.00
Upside to Fair Value -23.1% -3.8%
Market Cap $376.9B $1,897.7B
Forward P/E 22.9x 26.0x
EV / EBITDA 7.8x 18.1x
Price / Sales 1.5x 13.3x
Price / FCF 17.0x 54.0x
Revenue Growth YoY -4.6% +33.0%
Gross Margin 30.4% 59.9%
Operating Margin 9.0% 50.8%
Return on Equity 6.6% 35.1%
Dividend Yield 4.52% 1.05%
FCF Yield 5.89% 1.85%
Analyst Consensus Buy Strong Buy
Investment Thesis
CVX — Chevron Corporation
Chevron Corporation is a leading integrated oil and gas major with global upstream and downstream operations, a fortress balance sheet, and a shareholder-friendly capital return program. Under CEO Mike Wirth, the company has prioritized disciplined capital allocation, returning over $27 billion to shareholders in 2024 alone through buybacks and dividends, while maintaining a 38-year streak of con…
TSM — Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited
TSMC remains the single most critical company in the global semiconductor supply chain, manufacturing virtually every leading-edge AI chip for NVIDIA, Apple, AMD, and the hyperscalers. The company delivered exceptional 2025 results with 33% revenue growth and 50% net income growth, driven by HPC surging to 55% of Q4 revenue. At the 3nm node, TSMC maintains production yields of 70-80% versus Samsu…
Accumulation Zones
Metric CVX TSM
Zone Low $108.75 $265.00
Zone High $123.25 $310.00
In Buy Zone? No No
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