CVX vs TSLA: Which Is the Better Buy?

Side-by-side comparison of Chevron Corporation and Tesla, Inc. β€” fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals. Updated 2026-04-11.
Chevron Corporation Β· Energy
$188.52
-23.1% upside to fair value
Grade D
VS
Tesla, Inc. Β· Consumer Cyclical
$343.23
-5.3% upside to fair value
Low Conviction Grade D
QuantHub Verdict
TSLA has more upside to fair value (-5.3%). CVX trades at a lower forward P/E (22.9x). These are model outputs β€” not personalized investment advice. See all research β†’
Valuation & Fundamentals
Metric CVX TSLA
Current Price $188.52 $343.23
Fair Value Estimate $145.00 $325.00
Upside to Fair Value -23.1% -5.3%
Market Cap $376.9B $1,287.9B
Forward P/E 22.9x 205.5x
EV / EBITDA 7.8x 108.8x
Price / Sales 1.5x 13.6x
Price / FCF 17.0x 207.1x
Revenue Growth YoY -4.6% -2.9%
Gross Margin 30.4% 18.0%
Operating Margin 9.0% 4.6%
Return on Equity 6.6% 4.8%
Dividend Yield 4.52% 0%
FCF Yield 5.89% 0.48%
Analyst Consensus Buy β€”
Investment Thesis
CVX β€” Chevron Corporation
Chevron Corporation is a leading integrated oil and gas major with global upstream and downstream operations, a fortress balance sheet, and a shareholder-friendly capital return program. Under CEO Mike Wirth, the company has prioritized disciplined capital allocation, returning over $27 billion to shareholders in 2024 alone through buybacks and dividends, while maintaining a 38-year streak of con…
TSLA β€” Tesla, Inc.
Tesla remains the most polarizing stock in markets. The core auto business is deteriorating: FY2025 revenue fell 2.9% to $94.8B, net income dropped 46.8% to $3.8B, and Q4 deliveries declined 15.6% YoY to 418K units. Yet the stock trades at 13.6x TTM P/S (near 5yr highs) on the optionality of Cybercab robotaxis launching April 2026, FSD reaching unsupervised status in Austin, and Optimus humanoid …
Accumulation Zones
Metric CVX TSLA
Zone Low $108.75 $244.00
Zone High $123.25 $276.00
In Buy Zone? No No
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