CVX vs MA: Which Is the Better Buy?

Side-by-side comparison of Chevron Corporation and Mastercard Incorporated β€” fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals. Updated 2026-04-11.
Chevron Corporation Β· Energy
$188.52
-23.1% upside to fair value
Grade D
VS
Mastercard Incorporated Β· Financial Services
$498.66
+22.3% upside to fair value
High Conviction Grade A-
QuantHub Verdict
MA has more upside to fair value (+22.3%). CVX trades at a lower forward P/E (22.9x). These are model outputs β€” not personalized investment advice. See all research β†’
Valuation & Fundamentals
Metric CVX MA
Current Price $188.52 $498.66
Fair Value Estimate $145.00 $610.00
Upside to Fair Value -23.1% +22.3%
Market Cap $376.9B $445.0B
Forward P/E 22.9x 25.5x
EV / EBITDA 7.8x 22.4x
Price / Sales 1.5x 13.6x
Price / FCF 17.0x 26.0x
Revenue Growth YoY -4.6% +16.4%
Gross Margin 30.4% 83.4%
Operating Margin 9.0% 59.2%
Return on Equity 6.6% 198.4%
Dividend Yield 4.52% 0.65%
FCF Yield 5.89% 3.84%
Analyst Consensus Buy Strong Buy
Investment Thesis
CVX β€” Chevron Corporation
Chevron Corporation is a leading integrated oil and gas major with global upstream and downstream operations, a fortress balance sheet, and a shareholder-friendly capital return program. Under CEO Mike Wirth, the company has prioritized disciplined capital allocation, returning over $27 billion to shareholders in 2024 alone through buybacks and dividends, while maintaining a 38-year streak of con…
MA β€” Mastercard Incorporated
Mastercard operates one of the world's two dominant payment networks, processing over $9 trillion in gross dollar volume annually across 220+ countries. The business generates 83% gross margins and 46% net margins with zero credit risk because Mastercard never lends money, only collecting tolls on every transaction. Value-Added Services (analytics, fraud prevention, cybersecurity) now comprise 41…
Accumulation Zones
Metric CVX MA
Zone Low $108.75 $460.00
Zone High $123.25 $515.00
In Buy Zone? No Yes
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