COST vs XOM: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of Costco Wholesale Corporation and Exxon Mobil Corporation — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-07-08.
Costco Wholesale Corporation · Consumer Defensive
$947.50
-1.4% upside to fair value
Grade C
High Quality
VS
Exxon Mobil Corporation · Energy
$137.81
-45.0% upside to fair value
Grade C
QuantHub Verdict
COST has more upside to fair value
(-1.4%).
XOM trades at a lower forward P/E
(22.8x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
COST |
XOM |
| Current Price |
$947.50 |
$137.81 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$933.84 |
$75.80 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
-1.4%
|
-45.0%
|
| Market Cap |
$420.2B |
$571.2B |
| Forward P/E |
47.6x
|
22.8x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
28.3x
|
10.1x
|
| Price / Sales |
1.4x
|
1.8x
|
| Price / FCF |
47.7x
|
30.4x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+11.6%
|
+2.6%
|
| Gross Margin |
12.9%
|
25.5%
|
| Operating Margin |
3.8%
|
9.0%
|
| Return on Equity |
28.3%
|
9.8%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0% |
0% |
| FCF Yield |
2.1%
|
3.29%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Buy
|
Buy
|
Investment Thesis
Costco Wholesale Corporation operates as a membership-only warehouse club offering a wide range of merchandise at low prices. The company exhibits high business quality with a durable competitive moat driven by cost advantages, strong brand loyalty, and efficient operations, reflected in a robust ROE of 28.3% and solid revenue growth of 11.6% in the most recent quarter. Despite these strengths, t…
Exxon Mobil Corporation is a leading integrated oil and gas company with a durable competitive moat based on its scale, integration, advantaged long-life resources, proprietary technology, and irreplaceable infrastructure. The company is led by a long-tenured management team with a strong capital allocation track record focused on dividends and buybacks. Despite these strengths, Exxon is currentl…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
COST |
XOM |
| Zone Low |
$700.38 |
$56.85 |
| Zone High |
$793.76 |
$64.43 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
No
|