COST vs TTD: Which Is the Better Buy?

Side-by-side comparison of Costco Wholesale Corporation and The Trade Desk, Inc. โ€” fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals. Updated 2026-04-16.
Costco Wholesale Corporation ยท Consumer Defensive
$1,002.88
-35.4% upside to fair value
Grade C High Quality
VS
The Trade Desk, Inc. ยท Technology
$22.76
+488.8% upside to fair value
High Conviction Grade A-
QuantHub Verdict
TTD has more upside to fair value (+488.8%). TTD trades at a lower forward P/E (24.6x). These are model outputs โ€” not personalized investment advice. See all research โ†’
Valuation & Fundamentals
Metric COST TTD
Current Price $1,002.88 $22.76
Fair Value Estimate $648.03 $134.00
Upside to Fair Value -35.4% +488.8%
Market Cap $444.9B $10.8B
Forward P/E 52.1x 24.6x
EV / EBITDA 31.0x โ€”
Price / Sales 1.6x 3.7x
Price / FCF 49.0x 13.8x
Revenue Growth YoY +3.4% +14.5%
Gross Margin 12.9% 78.6%
Operating Margin 3.8% 20.3%
Return on Equity 28.8% 16.9%
Dividend Yield 0% โ€”
FCF Yield 2.04% 7.3%
Analyst Consensus Strong Buy Buy
Investment Thesis
COST โ€” Costco Wholesale Corporation
Costco Wholesale Corporation operates a global membership-based warehouse club model with over 900 warehouses across 14 countries, generating $254 billion in fiscal 2024 revenue. The company benefits from a durable competitive moat driven by scale advantages, a loyal membership base with high renewal rates, and superior employee retention through better wages and benefits. Despite steady revenue โ€ฆ
TTD โ€” The Trade Desk, Inc.
The Trade Desk is the largest independent demand-side platform for programmatic advertising with 78.6% gross margins. After recent sell-off, stock trades at 3.2x forward P/S vs historical higher multiples, offering upside if growth stabilizes at 15%+. A-tier business at cheap valuation.[1]
Accumulation Zones
Metric COST TTD
Zone Low $486.02 $100.00
Zone High $550.83 $114.00
In Buy Zone? No Yes
โ† COST Research    TTD Research โ†’    All Research