COST vs TSM: Which Is the Better Buy?

Side-by-side comparison of Costco Wholesale Corporation and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited β€” fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals. Updated 2026-04-20.
Costco Wholesale Corporation Β· Consumer Defensive
$999.89
-20.7% upside to fair value
Grade D High Quality
VS
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited Β· Technology
$366.24
+45.0% upside to fair value
Grade C High Quality
QuantHub Verdict
TSM has more upside to fair value (+45.0%). TSM trades at a lower forward P/E (27.2x). These are model outputs β€” not personalized investment advice. See all research β†’
Valuation & Fundamentals
Metric COST TSM
Current Price $999.89 $366.24
Fair Value Estimate $793.02 $531.05
Upside to Fair Value -20.7% +45.0%
Market Cap $443.6B $1,899.5B
Forward P/E 51.9x 27.2x
EV / EBITDA 30.9x 17.3x
Price / Sales 1.6x 12.8x
Price / FCF 48.8x 51.6x
Revenue Growth YoY +9.2% +36.5%
Gross Margin 12.9% 61.9%
Operating Margin 3.8% 53.2%
Return on Equity 28.8% 36.9%
Dividend Yield 0% 0%
FCF Yield 2.05% 1.94%
Analyst Consensus Buy Strong Buy
Investment Thesis
COST β€” Costco Wholesale Corporation
Costco Wholesale Corporation operates a global membership-based warehouse club model that leverages scale, low costs, and superior employee retention to deliver consistent revenue and earnings growth. The company reported $269.9 billion in net sales for fiscal 2025 with an 8% year-over-year increase, driven by strong segments in Foods and Sundries and membership fees exceeding $5.65 billion in th…
TSM β€” Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSMC) is the world's leading pure-play semiconductor foundry, commanding approximately 60% of the global advanced node foundry market. The company benefits from a durable competitive moat driven by its pioneering foundry model, massive scale, advanced manufacturing capabilities, and strong customer relationships with major technology firms. TSMC…
Accumulation Zones
Metric COST TSM
Zone Low $594.76 $398.29
Zone High $674.07 $451.39
In Buy Zone? No Yes
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