COST vs TSM: Which Is the Better Buy?

Side-by-side comparison of Costco Wholesale Corporation and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals. Updated 2026-04-10.
Costco Wholesale Corporation · Consumer Defensive
$1,002.88
-35.4% upside to fair value
Grade C High Quality
VS
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited · Technology
$365.90
-3.8% upside to fair value
Med Conviction Grade B+
QuantHub Verdict
TSM has more upside to fair value (-3.8%). TSM trades at a lower forward P/E (26.0x). These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice. See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
Metric COST TSM
Current Price $1,002.88 $365.90
Fair Value Estimate $648.03 $352.00
Upside to Fair Value -35.4% -3.8%
Market Cap $444.9B $1,897.7B
Forward P/E 52.1x 26.0x
EV / EBITDA 31.0x 18.1x
Price / Sales 1.6x 13.3x
Price / FCF 49.0x 54.0x
Revenue Growth YoY +3.4% +33.0%
Gross Margin 12.9% 59.9%
Operating Margin 3.8% 50.8%
Return on Equity 28.8% 35.1%
Dividend Yield 0% 1.05%
FCF Yield 2.04% 1.85%
Analyst Consensus Strong Buy Strong Buy
Investment Thesis
COST — Costco Wholesale Corporation
Costco Wholesale Corporation operates a global membership-based warehouse club model with over 900 warehouses across 14 countries, generating $254 billion in fiscal 2024 revenue. The company benefits from a durable competitive moat driven by scale advantages, a loyal membership base with high renewal rates, and superior employee retention through better wages and benefits. Despite steady revenue …
TSM — Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited
TSMC remains the single most critical company in the global semiconductor supply chain, manufacturing virtually every leading-edge AI chip for NVIDIA, Apple, AMD, and the hyperscalers. The company delivered exceptional 2025 results with 33% revenue growth and 50% net income growth, driven by HPC surging to 55% of Q4 revenue. At the 3nm node, TSMC maintains production yields of 70-80% versus Samsu…
Accumulation Zones
Metric COST TSM
Zone Low $486.02 $265.00
Zone High $550.83 $310.00
In Buy Zone? No No
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