COST vs NKE: Which Is the Better Buy?

Side-by-side comparison of Costco Wholesale Corporation and NIKE, Inc. β€” fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals. Updated 2026-07-08.
Costco Wholesale Corporation Β· Consumer Defensive
$947.50
-1.4% upside to fair value
Grade C High Quality
VS
NIKE, Inc. Β· Consumer Cyclical
$41.05
+45.0% upside to fair value
Grade B High Quality
QuantHub Verdict
NKE has more upside to fair value (+45.0%). NKE trades at a lower forward P/E (19.6x). These are model outputs β€” not personalized investment advice. See all research β†’
Valuation & Fundamentals
Metric COST NKE
Current Price $947.50 $41.05
Fair Value Estimate $933.84 $59.52
Upside to Fair Value -1.4% +45.0%
Market Cap $420.2B $60.7B
Forward P/E 47.6x 19.6x
EV / EBITDA 28.3x 14.2x
Price / Sales 1.4x 1.3x
Price / FCF 47.7x 57.9x
Revenue Growth YoY +11.6% -1.1%
Gross Margin 12.9% 42.9%
Operating Margin 3.8% 8.2%
Return on Equity 28.3% 22.0%
Dividend Yield 0% 0%
FCF Yield 2.1% 1.73%
Analyst Consensus Buy Hold
Investment Thesis
COST β€” Costco Wholesale Corporation
Costco Wholesale Corporation operates as a membership-only warehouse club offering a wide range of merchandise at low prices. The company exhibits high business quality with a durable competitive moat driven by cost advantages, strong brand loyalty, and efficient operations, reflected in a robust ROE of 28.3% and solid revenue growth of 11.6% in the most recent quarter. Despite these strengths, t…
NKE β€” NIKE, Inc.
NIKE, Inc. is a leading global athletic footwear and apparel company with a durable competitive moat supported by its strong brand, scale, and global distribution infrastructure. The company is currently led by CEO Elliott Hill, a seasoned Nike veteran who returned in October 2024 to navigate intensifying competition and channel complexity. Despite its market leadership and solid profitability me…
Accumulation Zones
Metric COST NKE
Zone Low $700.38 $44.64
Zone High $793.76 $50.59
In Buy Zone? No Yes
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