COST vs MSFT: Which Is the Better Buy?

Side-by-side comparison of Costco Wholesale Corporation and Microsoft Corporation โ€” fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals. Updated 2026-07-08.
Costco Wholesale Corporation ยท Consumer Defensive
$947.50
-1.4% upside to fair value
Grade C High Quality
VS
Microsoft Corporation ยท Technology
$379.40
+45.0% upside to fair value
Grade A High Quality
QuantHub Verdict
MSFT has more upside to fair value (+45.0%). MSFT trades at a lower forward P/E (22.5x). These are model outputs โ€” not personalized investment advice. See all research โ†’
Valuation & Fundamentals
Metric COST MSFT
Current Price $947.50 $379.40
Fair Value Estimate $933.84 $550.13
Upside to Fair Value -1.4% +45.0%
Market Cap $420.2B $2,818.3B
Forward P/E 47.6x 22.5x
EV / EBITDA 28.3x 14.2x
Price / Sales 1.4x 8.9x
Price / FCF 47.7x 38.6x
Revenue Growth YoY +11.6% +18.3%
Gross Margin 12.9% 68.3%
Operating Margin 3.8% 46.8%
Return on Equity 28.3% 33.1%
Dividend Yield 0% 0%
FCF Yield 2.1% 2.59%
Analyst Consensus Buy Strong Buy
Investment Thesis
COST โ€” Costco Wholesale Corporation
Costco Wholesale Corporation operates as a membership-only warehouse club offering a wide range of merchandise at low prices. The company exhibits high business quality with a durable competitive moat driven by cost advantages, strong brand loyalty, and efficient operations, reflected in a robust ROE of 28.3% and solid revenue growth of 11.6% in the most recent quarter. Despite these strengths, tโ€ฆ
MSFT โ€” Microsoft Corporation
Microsoft Corporation is a leading global technology company specializing in cloud computing, productivity software, and enterprise platforms. The company benefits from a very strong and widening competitive moat supported by scale, switching costs, an integrated ecosystem, and disciplined capital allocation including large buybacks and dividends. Its business quality is high, demonstrated by a 3โ€ฆ
Accumulation Zones
Metric COST MSFT
Zone Low $700.38 $412.60
Zone High $793.76 $467.61
In Buy Zone? No Yes
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