COST vs MAR: Which Is the Better Buy?

Side-by-side comparison of Costco Wholesale Corporation and Marriott International, Inc. β€” fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals. Updated 2026-05-07.
Costco Wholesale Corporation Β· Consumer Defensive
$999.89
-20.7% upside to fair value
Grade D High Quality
VS
Marriott International, Inc. Β· Consumer Cyclical
$359.06
-45.0% upside to fair value
Grade D
QuantHub Verdict
COST has more upside to fair value (-20.7%). MAR trades at a lower forward P/E (37.7x). These are model outputs β€” not personalized investment advice. See all research β†’
Valuation & Fundamentals
Metric COST MAR
Current Price $999.89 $359.06
Fair Value Estimate $793.02 $197.48
Upside to Fair Value -20.7% -45.0%
Market Cap $443.6B $95.2B
Forward P/E 51.9x 37.7x
EV / EBITDA 30.9x 29.5x
Price / Sales 1.6x 4.4x
Price / FCF 48.8x 29.3x
Revenue Growth YoY +9.2% -71.1%
Gross Margin 12.9% 6.0%
Operating Margin 3.8% 19.6%
Return on Equity 28.8% -78.5%
Dividend Yield 0% 0%
FCF Yield 2.05% 3.41%
Analyst Consensus Buy Hold
Investment Thesis
COST β€” Costco Wholesale Corporation
Costco Wholesale Corporation operates a global membership-based warehouse club model that leverages scale, low costs, and superior employee retention to deliver consistent revenue and earnings growth. The company reported $269.9 billion in net sales for fiscal 2025 with an 8% year-over-year increase, driven by strong segments in Foods and Sundries and membership fees exceeding $5.65 billion in th…
MAR β€” Marriott International, Inc.
Marriott International operates a global fee-driven, asset-light hotel business with a portfolio of over 30 brands and a strong competitive position in the travel lodging industry. The company benefits from a durable competitive moat supported by its brand strength, extensive network, and recurring franchise and management fees. However, recent financials show significant headwinds with a 71.1% y…
Accumulation Zones
Metric COST MAR
Zone Low $594.76 $148.11
Zone High $674.07 $167.86
In Buy Zone? No No
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