COST vs HON: Which Is the Better Buy?

Side-by-side comparison of Costco Wholesale Corporation and Honeywell International Inc. โ€” fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals. Updated 2026-04-11.
Costco Wholesale Corporation ยท Consumer Defensive
$1,002.88
-35.4% upside to fair value
Grade C High Quality
VS
Honeywell International Inc. ยท Industrials
$235.04
-9.9% upside to fair value
Med Conviction Grade B
QuantHub Verdict
HON has more upside to fair value (-9.9%). HON trades at a lower forward P/E (22.3x). These are model outputs โ€” not personalized investment advice. See all research โ†’
Valuation & Fundamentals
Metric COST HON
Current Price $1,002.88 $235.04
Fair Value Estimate $648.03 $211.73
Upside to Fair Value -35.4% -9.9%
Market Cap $444.9B $149.4B
Forward P/E 52.1x 22.3x
EV / EBITDA 31.0x 16.9x
Price / Sales 1.6x 4.0x
Price / FCF 49.0x 27.7x
Revenue Growth YoY +3.4% -2.7%
Gross Margin 12.9% 36.9%
Operating Margin 3.8% 17.7%
Return on Equity 28.8% 33.28%
Dividend Yield 0% 1.92%
FCF Yield 2.04% 3.61%
Analyst Consensus Strong Buy Buy
Investment Thesis
COST โ€” Costco Wholesale Corporation
Costco Wholesale Corporation operates a global membership-based warehouse club model with over 900 warehouses across 14 countries, generating $254 billion in fiscal 2024 revenue. The company benefits from a durable competitive moat driven by scale advantages, a loyal membership base with high renewal rates, and superior employee retention through better wages and benefits. Despite steady revenue โ€ฆ
HON โ€” Honeywell International Inc.
Honeywell is a diversified industrial conglomerate in the final stages of a transformative three-way separation into Honeywell Aerospace, Solstice Advanced Materials, and a retained Automation entity, targeting Q3 2026 completion. The business generated 33% ROE and $5.4B in free cash flow on $37.4B revenue in FY2025, supported by a record $37B backlog with 23% organic order growth in Q4. At $235 โ€ฆ
Accumulation Zones
Metric COST HON
Zone Low $486.02 $158.80
Zone High $550.83 $179.97
In Buy Zone? No No
โ† COST Research    HON Research โ†’    All Research