COST vs HD: Which Is the Better Buy?

Side-by-side comparison of Costco Wholesale Corporation and The Home Depot, Inc. โ€” fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals. Updated 2026-07-13.
Costco Wholesale Corporation ยท Consumer Defensive
$947.50
-1.4% upside to fair value
Grade C High Quality
VS
The Home Depot, Inc. ยท Consumer Cyclical
$343.30
+34.6% upside to fair value
Grade A High Quality
QuantHub Verdict
HD has more upside to fair value (+34.6%). HD trades at a lower forward P/E (24.3x). These are model outputs โ€” not personalized investment advice. See all research โ†’
Valuation & Fundamentals
Metric COST HD
Current Price $947.50 $343.30
Fair Value Estimate $933.84 $462.14
Upside to Fair Value -1.4% +34.6%
Market Cap $420.2B $342.3B
Forward P/E 47.6x 24.3x
EV / EBITDA 28.3x 16.5x
Price / Sales 1.4x 2.0x
Price / FCF 47.7x 23.9x
Revenue Growth YoY +11.6% +4.8%
Gross Margin 12.9% 33.1%
Operating Margin 3.8% 12.4%
Return on Equity 28.3% 113.3%
Dividend Yield 0% 0%
FCF Yield 2.1% 4.18%
Analyst Consensus Buy Buy
Investment Thesis
COST โ€” Costco Wholesale Corporation
Costco Wholesale Corporation operates as a membership-only warehouse club offering a wide range of merchandise at low prices. The company exhibits high business quality with a durable competitive moat driven by cost advantages, strong brand loyalty, and efficient operations, reflected in a robust ROE of 28.3% and solid revenue growth of 11.6% in the most recent quarter. Despite these strengths, tโ€ฆ
HD โ€” The Home Depot, Inc.
The Home Depot, Inc. operates as a leading home improvement retailer in the consumer cyclical sector, leveraging a strong brand and cost advantages to maintain a durable competitive moat. Despite a modest revenue growth of 4.8% and a decline in earnings by 4.2% in the most recent quarter, the company exhibits exceptional profitability metrics including a 113.3% return on equity and solid margins โ€ฆ
Accumulation Zones
Metric COST HD
Zone Low $700.38 $346.61
Zone High $793.76 $392.82
In Buy Zone? No Yes
โ† COST Research    HD Research โ†’    All Research