COST vs CVX: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of Costco Wholesale Corporation and Chevron Corporation — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-07-09.
Costco Wholesale Corporation · Consumer Defensive
$947.50
-1.4% upside to fair value
Grade C
High Quality
VS
Chevron Corporation · Energy
$175.91
-3.4% upside to fair value
Grade D
QuantHub Verdict
COST has more upside to fair value
(-1.4%).
CVX trades at a lower forward P/E
(30.4x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
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Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
COST |
CVX |
| Current Price |
$947.50 |
$175.91 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$933.84 |
$169.96 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
-1.4%
|
-3.4%
|
| Market Cap |
$420.2B |
$350.3B |
| Forward P/E |
47.6x
|
30.4x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
28.3x
|
9.4x
|
| Price / Sales |
1.4x
|
1.9x
|
| Price / FCF |
47.7x
|
26.2x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+11.6%
|
+3.2%
|
| Gross Margin |
12.9%
|
25.4%
|
| Operating Margin |
3.8%
|
8.4%
|
| Return on Equity |
28.3%
|
6.2%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0% |
0% |
| FCF Yield |
2.1%
|
3.82%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Buy
|
Buy
|
Investment Thesis
Costco Wholesale Corporation operates as a membership-only warehouse club offering a wide range of merchandise at low prices. The company exhibits high business quality with a durable competitive moat driven by cost advantages, strong brand loyalty, and efficient operations, reflected in a robust ROE of 28.3% and solid revenue growth of 11.6% in the most recent quarter. Despite these strengths, t…
Chevron Corporation operates as a leading integrated oil and gas company within the energy sector, demonstrating medium business quality with a stable competitive position but facing earnings pressure as evidenced by a 36.9% decline in earnings in the most recent quarter. The stock trades at a premium valuation with a P/E trailing and forward of 30.38, EV/EBITDA of 9.41, and a P/FCF of 26.2, refl…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
COST |
CVX |
| Zone Low |
$700.38 |
$127.47 |
| Zone High |
$793.76 |
$144.47 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
No
|