COST vs CVX: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of Costco Wholesale Corporation and Chevron Corporation β fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-04-11.
Costco Wholesale Corporation Β· Consumer Defensive
$1,002.88
-35.4% upside to fair value
Grade C
High Quality
VS
Chevron Corporation Β· Energy
$188.52
-23.1% upside to fair value
Grade D
QuantHub Verdict
CVX has more upside to fair value
(-23.1%).
CVX trades at a lower forward P/E
(22.9x).
These are model outputs β not personalized investment advice.
See all research β
Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
COST |
CVX |
| Current Price |
$1,002.88 |
$188.52 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$648.03 |
$145.00 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
-35.4%
|
-23.1%
|
| Market Cap |
$444.9B |
$376.9B |
| Forward P/E |
52.1x
|
22.9x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
31.0x
|
7.8x
|
| Price / Sales |
1.6x
|
1.5x
|
| Price / FCF |
49.0x
|
17.0x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+3.4%
|
-4.6%
|
| Gross Margin |
12.9%
|
30.4%
|
| Operating Margin |
3.8%
|
9.0%
|
| Return on Equity |
28.8%
|
6.6%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0% |
4.52% |
| FCF Yield |
2.04%
|
5.89%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Strong Buy
|
Buy
|
Investment Thesis
Costco Wholesale Corporation operates a global membership-based warehouse club model with over 900 warehouses across 14 countries, generating $254 billion in fiscal 2024 revenue. The company benefits from a durable competitive moat driven by scale advantages, a loyal membership base with high renewal rates, and superior employee retention through better wages and benefits. Despite steady revenue β¦
Chevron Corporation is a leading integrated oil and gas major with global upstream and downstream operations, a fortress balance sheet, and a shareholder-friendly capital return program. Under CEO Mike Wirth, the company has prioritized disciplined capital allocation, returning over $27 billion to shareholders in 2024 alone through buybacks and dividends, while maintaining a 38-year streak of conβ¦
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
COST |
CVX |
| Zone Low |
$486.02 |
$108.75 |
| Zone High |
$550.83 |
$123.25 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
No
|