COST vs CVX: Which Is the Better Buy?

Side-by-side comparison of Costco Wholesale Corporation and Chevron Corporation β€” fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals. Updated 2026-04-11.
Costco Wholesale Corporation Β· Consumer Defensive
$1,002.88
-35.4% upside to fair value
Grade C High Quality
VS
Chevron Corporation Β· Energy
$188.52
-23.1% upside to fair value
Grade D
QuantHub Verdict
CVX has more upside to fair value (-23.1%). CVX trades at a lower forward P/E (22.9x). These are model outputs β€” not personalized investment advice. See all research β†’
Valuation & Fundamentals
Metric COST CVX
Current Price $1,002.88 $188.52
Fair Value Estimate $648.03 $145.00
Upside to Fair Value -35.4% -23.1%
Market Cap $444.9B $376.9B
Forward P/E 52.1x 22.9x
EV / EBITDA 31.0x 7.8x
Price / Sales 1.6x 1.5x
Price / FCF 49.0x 17.0x
Revenue Growth YoY +3.4% -4.6%
Gross Margin 12.9% 30.4%
Operating Margin 3.8% 9.0%
Return on Equity 28.8% 6.6%
Dividend Yield 0% 4.52%
FCF Yield 2.04% 5.89%
Analyst Consensus Strong Buy Buy
Investment Thesis
COST β€” Costco Wholesale Corporation
Costco Wholesale Corporation operates a global membership-based warehouse club model with over 900 warehouses across 14 countries, generating $254 billion in fiscal 2024 revenue. The company benefits from a durable competitive moat driven by scale advantages, a loyal membership base with high renewal rates, and superior employee retention through better wages and benefits. Despite steady revenue …
CVX β€” Chevron Corporation
Chevron Corporation is a leading integrated oil and gas major with global upstream and downstream operations, a fortress balance sheet, and a shareholder-friendly capital return program. Under CEO Mike Wirth, the company has prioritized disciplined capital allocation, returning over $27 billion to shareholders in 2024 alone through buybacks and dividends, while maintaining a 38-year streak of con…
Accumulation Zones
Metric COST CVX
Zone Low $486.02 $108.75
Zone High $550.83 $123.25
In Buy Zone? No No
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