COP vs TTD: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of ConocoPhillips and The Trade Desk, Inc. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-09-22.
ConocoPhillips · Energy
$127.53
+32.1% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade B
VS
The Trade Desk, Inc. · Communication Services
$14.26
-1.8% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade C
High Quality
QuantHub Verdict
COP has more upside to fair value
(+32.1%).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
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Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
COP |
TTD |
| Current Price |
$127.53 |
$14.26 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$168.50 |
$14.00 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
+32.1%
|
-1.8%
|
| Market Cap |
$155.4B |
$6.7B |
| Forward P/E |
—
|
—
|
| EV / EBITDA |
6.2x
|
7.5x
|
| Price / Sales |
2.5x
|
2.2x
|
| Price / FCF |
7.9x
|
7.8x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+36.8%
|
+3.0%
|
| Gross Margin |
27.7%
|
83.0%
|
| Operating Margin |
21.9%
|
19.6%
|
| Return on Equity |
14.3%
|
16.1%
|
| Dividend Yield |
2.63% |
0% |
| FCF Yield |
12.66%
|
12.89%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Strong Buy
|
Hold
|
Investment Thesis
ConocoPhillips is a global exploration and production company with a portfolio spanning unconventional North American shale, conventional international assets, LNG ventures, and Canadian oil sands, run by a new leadership team after Andy O'Brien became CEO on September 1, 2026. The business quality is medium: it generates substantial cash, with $16.15 in free cash flow per share and a 14.3% retur…
The Trade Desk operates a self-service, cloud-based demand-side platform that lets advertising agencies and their advertiser clients plan, buy and optimize data-driven digital campaigns across display, video, audio, native, social and connected TV, with 3,843 employees and a founder-led management team. Business quality is genuinely high on the unit economics: TTM gross margin of 83.0%, TTM opera…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
COP |
TTD |
| Zone Low |
$126.38 |
$10.50 |
| Zone High |
$143.22 |
$11.90 |
| In Buy Zone? |
Yes
|
No
|