COP vs TTD: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of ConocoPhillips and The Trade Desk, Inc. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-04-16.
ConocoPhillips · Energy
$122.55
-21.4% upside to fair value
Grade D
VS
The Trade Desk, Inc. · Technology
$22.76
+488.8% upside to fair value
High Conviction
Grade A-
QuantHub Verdict
TTD has more upside to fair value
(+488.8%).
COP trades at a lower forward P/E
(19.3x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
COP |
TTD |
| Current Price |
$122.55 |
$22.76 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$96.36 |
$134.00 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
-21.4%
|
+488.8%
|
| Market Cap |
$149.8B |
$10.8B |
| Forward P/E |
19.3x
|
24.6x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
5.8x
|
—
|
| Price / Sales |
2.5x
|
3.7x
|
| Price / FCF |
8.9x
|
13.8x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+7.5%
|
+14.5%
|
| Gross Margin |
24.6%
|
78.6%
|
| Operating Margin |
19.6%
|
20.3%
|
| Return on Equity |
12.39%
|
16.9%
|
| Dividend Yield |
3.41% |
— |
| FCF Yield |
10.9%
|
7.3%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Buy
|
Buy
|
Investment Thesis
ConocoPhillips is the largest U.S. independent exploration and production company, operating approximately 2.4 million barrels of oil equivalent per day across its Lower 48, Alaska, Canada, and international segments. The company completed its transformative $22.5 billion Marathon Oil acquisition in late 2024 and is on track for $2 billion in cost synergies by the end of 2026. Full-year 2025 reve…
The Trade Desk is the largest independent demand-side platform for programmatic advertising with 78.6% gross margins. After recent sell-off, stock trades at 3.2x forward P/S vs historical higher multiples, offering upside if growth stabilizes at 15%+. A-tier business at cheap valuation.[1]
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
COP |
TTD |
| Zone Low |
$72.27 |
$100.00 |
| Zone High |
$81.91 |
$114.00 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
Yes
|