COP vs TSM: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of ConocoPhillips and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-05-01.
ConocoPhillips · Energy
$125.78
-2.1% upside to fair value
Grade C
VS
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited · Technology
$366.24
+45.0% upside to fair value
Grade C
High Quality
QuantHub Verdict
TSM has more upside to fair value
(+45.0%).
COP trades at a lower forward P/E
(21.0x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
COP |
TSM |
| Current Price |
$125.78 |
$366.24 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$123.15 |
$531.05 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
-2.1%
|
+45.0%
|
| Market Cap |
$153.3B |
$1,899.5B |
| Forward P/E |
21.0x
|
27.2x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
7.5x
|
17.3x
|
| Price / Sales |
2.6x
|
12.8x
|
| Price / FCF |
8.4x
|
51.6x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
-2.5%
|
+36.5%
|
| Gross Margin |
33.1%
|
61.9%
|
| Operating Margin |
25.4%
|
53.2%
|
| Return on Equity |
11.3%
|
36.9%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0% |
0% |
| FCF Yield |
11.96%
|
1.94%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Strong Buy
|
Strong Buy
|
Investment Thesis
ConocoPhillips is a leading independent oil and gas exploration and production company with a strong focus on low-cost shale assets and sustainability initiatives. The company benefits from a durable competitive position due to its cost advantage and early ESG leadership, but faces near-term earnings pressure as revenue declined 2.5% and earnings fell 23.4% in the most recent quarter year-over-ye…
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSMC) is the world's leading pure-play semiconductor foundry, commanding approximately 60% of the global advanced node foundry market. The company benefits from a durable competitive moat driven by its pioneering foundry model, massive scale, advanced manufacturing capabilities, and strong customer relationships with major technology firms. TSMC…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
COP |
TSM |
| Zone Low |
$92.36 |
$398.29 |
| Zone High |
$104.68 |
$451.39 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
Yes
|