COP vs TSM: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of ConocoPhillips and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-04-11.
ConocoPhillips · Energy
$122.55
-21.4% upside to fair value
Grade D
VS
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited · Technology
$365.90
-3.8% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade B+
QuantHub Verdict
TSM has more upside to fair value
(-3.8%).
COP trades at a lower forward P/E
(19.3x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
COP |
TSM |
| Current Price |
$122.55 |
$365.90 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$96.36 |
$352.00 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
-21.4%
|
-3.8%
|
| Market Cap |
$149.8B |
$1,897.7B |
| Forward P/E |
19.3x
|
26.0x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
5.8x
|
18.1x
|
| Price / Sales |
2.5x
|
13.3x
|
| Price / FCF |
8.9x
|
54.0x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+7.5%
|
+33.0%
|
| Gross Margin |
24.6%
|
59.9%
|
| Operating Margin |
19.6%
|
50.8%
|
| Return on Equity |
12.39%
|
35.1%
|
| Dividend Yield |
3.41% |
1.05% |
| FCF Yield |
10.9%
|
1.85%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Buy
|
Strong Buy
|
Investment Thesis
ConocoPhillips is the largest U.S. independent exploration and production company, operating approximately 2.4 million barrels of oil equivalent per day across its Lower 48, Alaska, Canada, and international segments. The company completed its transformative $22.5 billion Marathon Oil acquisition in late 2024 and is on track for $2 billion in cost synergies by the end of 2026. Full-year 2025 reve…
TSMC remains the single most critical company in the global semiconductor supply chain, manufacturing virtually every leading-edge AI chip for NVIDIA, Apple, AMD, and the hyperscalers. The company delivered exceptional 2025 results with 33% revenue growth and 50% net income growth, driven by HPC surging to 55% of Q4 revenue. At the 3nm node, TSMC maintains production yields of 70-80% versus Samsu…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
COP |
TSM |
| Zone Low |
$72.27 |
$265.00 |
| Zone High |
$81.91 |
$310.00 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
No
|