COP vs TSM: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of ConocoPhillips and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-07-17.
ConocoPhillips · Energy
$108.44
-21.6% upside to fair value
Grade D
VS
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited · Technology
$409.74
+45.0% upside to fair value
Grade C
High Quality
QuantHub Verdict
TSM has more upside to fair value
(+45.0%).
COP trades at a lower forward P/E
(18.4x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
COP |
TSM |
| Current Price |
$108.44 |
$409.74 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$85.04 |
$594.12 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
-21.6%
|
+45.0%
|
| Market Cap |
$132.1B |
$2,125.1B |
| Forward P/E |
18.4x
|
38.8x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
6.1x
|
17.6x
|
| Price / Sales |
2.3x
|
14.5x
|
| Price / FCF |
8.6x
|
58.4x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
-2.5%
|
+36.0%
|
| Gross Margin |
29.2%
|
61.9%
|
| Operating Margin |
18.3%
|
53.2%
|
| Return on Equity |
11.3%
|
36.9%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0% |
0% |
| FCF Yield |
11.64%
|
1.71%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Strong Buy
|
Strong Buy
|
Investment Thesis
ConocoPhillips is a major player in the Energy sector focused on Oil & Gas Exploration & Production. The company demonstrates medium business quality with a stable competitive position but faces earnings pressure as reflected in a 23.4% decline in earnings and a 2.5% decline in revenue in the most recent quarter year-over-year. Despite a solid ROE of 11.3% and attractive margins (gross margin 29.…
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM) is a leading semiconductor foundry specializing in advanced chip manufacturing technologies. The company exhibits high business quality with a durable competitive moat driven by cost advantages, intangible assets, and strong brand recognition. It demonstrates robust profitability with a net margin of 47.0% and a return on equity of 36.9%. R…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
COP |
TSM |
| Zone Low |
$63.78 |
$445.59 |
| Zone High |
$72.28 |
$505.00 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
Yes
|