COP vs TSLA: Which Is the Better Buy?

Side-by-side comparison of ConocoPhillips and Tesla, Inc. β€” fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals. Updated 2026-07-08.
ConocoPhillips Β· Energy
$108.44
-21.6% upside to fair value
Grade D
VS
Tesla, Inc. Β· Consumer Cyclical
$400.49
-1.1% upside to fair value
Grade D
QuantHub Verdict
TSLA has more upside to fair value (-1.1%). COP trades at a lower forward P/E (18.4x). These are model outputs β€” not personalized investment advice. See all research β†’
Valuation & Fundamentals
Metric COP TSLA
Current Price $108.44 $400.49
Fair Value Estimate $85.04 $396.15
Upside to Fair Value -21.6% -1.1%
Market Cap $132.1B $1,504.1B
Forward P/E 18.4x 334.1x
EV / EBITDA 6.1x 124.0x
Price / Sales 2.3x 15.4x
Price / FCF 8.6x 214.9x
Revenue Growth YoY -2.5% +15.8%
Gross Margin 29.2% 19.1%
Operating Margin 18.3% 5.0%
Return on Equity 11.3% 4.8%
Dividend Yield 0% 0%
FCF Yield 11.64% 0.47%
Analyst Consensus Strong Buy Buy
Investment Thesis
COP β€” ConocoPhillips
ConocoPhillips is a major player in the Energy sector focused on Oil & Gas Exploration & Production. The company demonstrates medium business quality with a stable competitive position but faces earnings pressure as reflected in a 23.4% decline in earnings and a 2.5% decline in revenue in the most recent quarter year-over-year. Despite a solid ROE of 11.3% and attractive margins (gross margin 29.…
TSLA β€” Tesla, Inc.
Tesla, Inc. is a leading global electric vehicle manufacturer and energy solutions provider, led by CEO Elon Musk since 2008. The company maintains a strong position in the EV market with a unique fast-charging and software ecosystem, although its EV market share is declining amid intensifying competition. Tesla's business quality is medium due to its narrowing moat and modest profitability, with…
Accumulation Zones
Metric COP TSLA
Zone Low $63.78 $297.11
Zone High $72.28 $336.73
In Buy Zone? No No
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