COP vs TSLA: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of ConocoPhillips and Tesla, Inc. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-04-11.
ConocoPhillips · Energy
$122.55
-21.4% upside to fair value
Grade D
VS
Tesla, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical
$343.23
-5.3% upside to fair value
Low Conviction
Grade D
QuantHub Verdict
TSLA has more upside to fair value
(-5.3%).
COP trades at a lower forward P/E
(19.3x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
COP |
TSLA |
| Current Price |
$122.55 |
$343.23 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$96.36 |
$325.00 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
-21.4%
|
-5.3%
|
| Market Cap |
$149.8B |
$1,287.9B |
| Forward P/E |
19.3x
|
205.5x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
5.8x
|
108.8x
|
| Price / Sales |
2.5x
|
13.6x
|
| Price / FCF |
8.9x
|
207.1x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+7.5%
|
-2.9%
|
| Gross Margin |
24.6%
|
18.0%
|
| Operating Margin |
19.6%
|
4.6%
|
| Return on Equity |
12.39%
|
4.8%
|
| Dividend Yield |
3.41% |
0% |
| FCF Yield |
10.9%
|
0.48%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Buy
|
—
|
Investment Thesis
ConocoPhillips is the largest U.S. independent exploration and production company, operating approximately 2.4 million barrels of oil equivalent per day across its Lower 48, Alaska, Canada, and international segments. The company completed its transformative $22.5 billion Marathon Oil acquisition in late 2024 and is on track for $2 billion in cost synergies by the end of 2026. Full-year 2025 reve…
Tesla remains the most polarizing stock in markets. The core auto business is deteriorating: FY2025 revenue fell 2.9% to $94.8B, net income dropped 46.8% to $3.8B, and Q4 deliveries declined 15.6% YoY to 418K units. Yet the stock trades at 13.6x TTM P/S (near 5yr highs) on the optionality of Cybercab robotaxis launching April 2026, FSD reaching unsupervised status in Austin, and Optimus humanoid …
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
COP |
TSLA |
| Zone Low |
$72.27 |
$244.00 |
| Zone High |
$81.91 |
$276.00 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
No
|