COP vs TSLA: Which Is the Better Buy?

Side-by-side comparison of ConocoPhillips and Tesla, Inc. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals. Updated 2026-05-01.
ConocoPhillips · Energy
$125.78
-2.1% upside to fair value
Grade C
VS
Tesla, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical
$387.51
-45.0% upside to fair value
Grade D
QuantHub Verdict
COP has more upside to fair value (-2.1%). COP trades at a lower forward P/E (21.0x). These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice. See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
Metric COP TSLA
Current Price $125.78 $387.51
Fair Value Estimate $123.15 $213.13
Upside to Fair Value -2.1% -45.0%
Market Cap $153.3B $1,454.1B
Forward P/E 21.0x 330.0x
EV / EBITDA 7.5x 122.9x
Price / Sales 2.6x 15.3x
Price / FCF 8.4x 233.8x
Revenue Growth YoY -2.5% -3.1%
Gross Margin 33.1% 18.0%
Operating Margin 25.4% 4.6%
Return on Equity 11.3% 4.8%
Dividend Yield 0% 0%
FCF Yield 11.96% 0.43%
Analyst Consensus Strong Buy Hold
Investment Thesis
COP — ConocoPhillips
ConocoPhillips is a leading independent oil and gas exploration and production company with a strong focus on low-cost shale assets and sustainability initiatives. The company benefits from a durable competitive position due to its cost advantage and early ESG leadership, but faces near-term earnings pressure as revenue declined 2.5% and earnings fell 23.4% in the most recent quarter year-over-ye…
TSLA — Tesla, Inc.
Tesla, Inc. is a leading global manufacturer of electric vehicles, energy storage, and solar products, led by CEO Elon Musk since 2008. The company has a mixed business quality profile with a strong brand and innovation leadership but faces significant challenges including declining automotive revenue, which fell nearly 10% year-over-year in 2025, and a 3.1% revenue decline in the most recent qua…
Accumulation Zones
Metric COP TSLA
Zone Low $92.36 $159.85
Zone High $104.68 $181.16
In Buy Zone? No No
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