COP vs SMCI: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of ConocoPhillips and Super Micro Computer, Inc. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-09-26.
ConocoPhillips · Energy
$127.53
+32.1% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade B
VS
Super Micro Computer, Inc. · Technology
$43.26
-4.2% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade C
QuantHub Verdict
COP has more upside to fair value
(+32.1%).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
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Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
COP |
SMCI |
| Current Price |
$127.53 |
$43.26 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$168.50 |
$41.44 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
+32.1%
|
-4.2%
|
| Market Cap |
$155.4B |
$28.0B |
| Forward P/E |
—
|
—
|
| EV / EBITDA |
6.2x
|
8.9x
|
| Price / Sales |
2.5x
|
0.7x
|
| Price / FCF |
7.9x
|
—
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+36.8%
|
+93.2%
|
| Gross Margin |
27.7%
|
10.8%
|
| Operating Margin |
21.9%
|
7.1%
|
| Return on Equity |
14.3%
|
25.1%
|
| Dividend Yield |
2.63% |
0% |
| FCF Yield |
12.66%
|
—
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Strong Buy
|
Hold
|
Investment Thesis
ConocoPhillips is a global exploration and production company with a portfolio spanning unconventional North American shale, conventional international assets, LNG ventures, and Canadian oil sands, run by a new leadership team after Andy O'Brien became CEO on September 1, 2026. The business quality is medium: it generates substantial cash, with $16.15 in free cash flow per share and a 14.3% retur…
Super Micro Computer designs and sells modular, open-standard server and storage systems, with a growing franchise in liquid- and air-cooled AI racks such as the NVIDIA Vera Rubin NVL72, sold through direct, distribution and OEM channels to data center, cloud, AI, 5G and edge customers. The business quality is mixed: revenue grew 93.2% year over year and earnings grew 503.7% in the most recent qu…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
COP |
SMCI |
| Zone Low |
$126.38 |
$31.08 |
| Zone High |
$143.22 |
$35.22 |
| In Buy Zone? |
Yes
|
No
|