COP vs SMCI: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of ConocoPhillips and Super Micro Computer, Inc. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-04-18.
ConocoPhillips · Energy
$122.55
-21.4% upside to fair value
Grade D
VS
Super Micro Computer, Inc. · Technology
$28.56
+435.6% upside to fair value
Grade B
QuantHub Verdict
SMCI has more upside to fair value
(+435.6%).
COP trades at a lower forward P/E
(19.3x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
COP |
SMCI |
| Current Price |
$122.55 |
$28.56 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$96.36 |
$152.97 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
-21.4%
|
+435.6%
|
| Market Cap |
$149.8B |
$17.1B |
| Forward P/E |
19.3x
|
19.5x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
5.8x
|
15.0x
|
| Price / Sales |
2.5x
|
0.6x
|
| Price / FCF |
8.9x
|
38.9x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+7.5%
|
+152.8%
|
| Gross Margin |
24.6%
|
8.0%
|
| Operating Margin |
19.6%
|
3.7%
|
| Return on Equity |
12.39%
|
13.3%
|
| Dividend Yield |
3.41% |
0% |
| FCF Yield |
10.9%
|
2.57%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Buy
|
Hold
|
Investment Thesis
ConocoPhillips is the largest U.S. independent exploration and production company, operating approximately 2.4 million barrels of oil equivalent per day across its Lower 48, Alaska, Canada, and international segments. The company completed its transformative $22.5 billion Marathon Oil acquisition in late 2024 and is on track for $2 billion in cost synergies by the end of 2026. Full-year 2025 reve…
Super Micro Computer, Inc. is a technology company specializing in server and storage systems with a dominant focus on AI GPU platforms that now drive over 70% of its revenues. The company benefits from a founder-led management team with deep industry expertise and long tenure, and it has scaled rapidly with revenue growth exceeding 150% year-over-year. Despite this explosive growth, profitabilit…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
COP |
SMCI |
| Zone Low |
$72.27 |
$114.73 |
| Zone High |
$81.91 |
$130.02 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
Yes
|