COP vs SBUX: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of ConocoPhillips and Starbucks Corporation — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-09-22.
ConocoPhillips · Energy
$127.53
+32.1% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade B
VS
Starbucks Corporation · Consumer Cyclical
$96.67
+12.3% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade C
QuantHub Verdict
COP has more upside to fair value
(+32.1%).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
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Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
COP |
SBUX |
| Current Price |
$127.53 |
$96.67 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$168.50 |
$108.52 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
+32.1%
|
+12.3%
|
| Market Cap |
$155.4B |
$110.2B |
| Forward P/E |
—
|
—
|
| EV / EBITDA |
6.2x
|
22.0x
|
| Price / Sales |
2.5x
|
2.9x
|
| Price / FCF |
7.9x
|
30.4x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+36.8%
|
-1.4%
|
| Gross Margin |
27.7%
|
31.7%
|
| Operating Margin |
21.9%
|
9.4%
|
| Return on Equity |
14.3%
|
-24.3%
|
| Dividend Yield |
2.63% |
2.57% |
| FCF Yield |
12.66%
|
3.29%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Strong Buy
|
Buy
|
Investment Thesis
ConocoPhillips is a global exploration and production company with a portfolio spanning unconventional North American shale, conventional international assets, LNG ventures, and Canadian oil sands, run by a new leadership team after Andy O'Brien became CEO on September 1, 2026. The business quality is medium: it generates substantial cash, with $16.15 in free cash flow per share and a 14.3% retur…
Starbucks is the world's largest specialty coffee retailer, operating company-owned and licensed coffeehouses across North America, International, and Channel Development segments, with a brand that has historically supported premium pricing and global scale. The business quality is currently strained: revenue declined 1.4% year over year in the most recent quarter, TTM operating margin is 9.4%, …
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
COP |
SBUX |
| Zone Low |
$126.38 |
$81.39 |
| Zone High |
$143.22 |
$92.24 |
| In Buy Zone? |
Yes
|
No
|