COP vs PYPL: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of ConocoPhillips and PayPal Holdings, Inc. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-05-05.
ConocoPhillips · Energy
$125.78
+7.3% upside to fair value
Grade C
VS
PayPal Holdings, Inc. · Financial Services
$50.39
+110.0% upside to fair value
Grade B
QuantHub Verdict
PYPL has more upside to fair value
(+110.0%).
PYPL trades at a lower forward P/E
(9.0x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
COP |
PYPL |
| Current Price |
$125.78 |
$50.39 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$134.90 |
$105.84 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
+7.3%
|
+110.0%
|
| Market Cap |
$153.3B |
$45.3B |
| Forward P/E |
21.0x
|
9.0x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
7.5x
|
6.1x
|
| Price / Sales |
2.6x
|
1.4x
|
| Price / FCF |
8.4x
|
8.2x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
-2.5%
|
+3.7%
|
| Gross Margin |
33.1%
|
46.6%
|
| Operating Margin |
25.4%
|
18.3%
|
| Return on Equity |
11.3%
|
25.9%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0% |
0% |
| FCF Yield |
11.96%
|
12.27%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Strong Buy
|
Sell
|
Investment Thesis
ConocoPhillips is a leading independent oil and gas exploration and production company with a strong focus on low-cost shale assets and sustainability initiatives. The company benefits from a durable competitive position due to its cost advantage and early ESG leadership, but faces near-term earnings pressure as revenue declined 2.5% and earnings fell 23.4% in the most recent quarter year-over-ye…
PayPal Holdings, Inc. operates as a leading digital payments platform offering transaction processing and value-added financial services such as consumer credit and BNPL products. The business quality is medium due to a narrowing competitive moat amid increasing pressure from big tech competitors and slowing growth in its core branded checkout segment. The stock is currently mispriced and cheap, …
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
COP |
PYPL |
| Zone Low |
$101.18 |
$79.38 |
| Zone High |
$114.67 |
$89.96 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
Yes
|