COP vs PYPL: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of ConocoPhillips and PayPal Holdings, Inc. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-07-08.
ConocoPhillips · Energy
$108.44
-21.6% upside to fair value
Grade D
VS
PayPal Holdings, Inc. · Financial Services
$42.51
+45.0% upside to fair value
Grade B
QuantHub Verdict
PYPL has more upside to fair value
(+45.0%).
PYPL trades at a lower forward P/E
(7.7x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
COP |
PYPL |
| Current Price |
$108.44 |
$42.51 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$85.04 |
$61.64 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
-21.6%
|
+45.0%
|
| Market Cap |
$132.1B |
$37.5B |
| Forward P/E |
18.4x
|
7.7x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
6.1x
|
5.3x
|
| Price / Sales |
2.3x
|
1.1x
|
| Price / FCF |
8.6x
|
6.8x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
-2.5%
|
+7.2%
|
| Gross Margin |
29.2%
|
46.1%
|
| Operating Margin |
18.3%
|
17.9%
|
| Return on Equity |
11.3%
|
25.1%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0% |
0% |
| FCF Yield |
11.64%
|
14.71%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Strong Buy
|
Sell
|
Investment Thesis
ConocoPhillips is a major player in the Energy sector focused on Oil & Gas Exploration & Production. The company demonstrates medium business quality with a stable competitive position but faces earnings pressure as reflected in a 23.4% decline in earnings and a 2.5% decline in revenue in the most recent quarter year-over-year. Despite a solid ROE of 11.3% and attractive margins (gross margin 29.…
PayPal Holdings, Inc. operates as a leading global digital payments platform with a competitive moat driven by its extensive network effects, brand recognition, and scale. Despite a durable business model with 2025 revenue of $33.17 billion growing at 4.3% year-over-year and a strong return on equity of 25.1%, the company faces slowing growth and margin pressures, reflected in a 13.5% decline in …
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
COP |
PYPL |
| Zone Low |
$63.78 |
$46.23 |
| Zone High |
$72.28 |
$52.39 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
Yes
|