COP vs NVDA: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of ConocoPhillips and NVIDIA Corporation — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-04-11.
ConocoPhillips · Energy
$122.55
-21.4% upside to fair value
Grade D
VS
NVIDIA Corporation · Technology
$182.08
+59.3% upside to fair value
High Conviction
Grade A-
QuantHub Verdict
NVDA has more upside to fair value
(+59.3%).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
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Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
COP |
NVDA |
| Current Price |
$122.55 |
$182.08 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$96.36 |
$290.00 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
-21.4%
|
+59.3%
|
| Market Cap |
$149.8B |
$4,425.5B |
| Forward P/E |
19.3x
|
—
|
| EV / EBITDA |
5.8x
|
31.4x
|
| Price / Sales |
2.5x
|
21.0x
|
| Price / FCF |
8.9x
|
46.9x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+7.5%
|
+65.5%
|
| Gross Margin |
24.6%
|
71.1%
|
| Operating Margin |
19.6%
|
60.4%
|
| Return on Equity |
12.39%
|
76.3%
|
| Dividend Yield |
3.41% |
0.02% |
| FCF Yield |
10.9%
|
2.13%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Buy
|
Strong Buy
|
Investment Thesis
ConocoPhillips is the largest U.S. independent exploration and production company, operating approximately 2.4 million barrels of oil equivalent per day across its Lower 48, Alaska, Canada, and international segments. The company completed its transformative $22.5 billion Marathon Oil acquisition in late 2024 and is on track for $2 billion in cost synergies by the end of 2026. Full-year 2025 reve…
NVIDIA is the foundational infrastructure layer of the AI era. Data Center revenue reached $193.7B in FY2026, up 66% YoY, powered by insatiable demand for Blackwell B200 GPUs across hyperscalers and sovereign AI programs. The company generates $96.7B in annual free cash flow with 71% gross margins and 56% net margins, making it the most profitable semiconductor business in history. At P/E 37.7x v…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
COP |
NVDA |
| Zone Low |
$72.27 |
$218.00 |
| Zone High |
$81.91 |
$250.00 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
Yes
|