COP vs NKE: Which Is the Better Buy?

Side-by-side comparison of ConocoPhillips and NIKE, Inc. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals. Updated 2026-04-11.
ConocoPhillips · Energy
$122.55
-21.4% upside to fair value
Grade D
VS
NIKE, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical
$42.62
+45.5% upside to fair value
Med Conviction Grade B+
QuantHub Verdict
NKE has more upside to fair value (+45.5%). COP trades at a lower forward P/E (19.3x). These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice. See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
Metric COP NKE
Current Price $122.55 $42.62
Fair Value Estimate $96.36 $62.00
Upside to Fair Value -21.4% +45.5%
Market Cap $149.8B $63.0B
Forward P/E 19.3x 27.9x
EV / EBITDA 5.8x 20.7x
Price / Sales 2.5x 1.4x
Price / FCF 8.9x 19.4x
Revenue Growth YoY +7.5% -9.8%
Gross Margin 24.6% 42.7%
Operating Margin 19.6% 8.0%
Return on Equity 12.39% 24.4%
Dividend Yield 3.41% 3.8%
FCF Yield 10.9% 5.2%
Analyst Consensus Buy Buy
Investment Thesis
COP — ConocoPhillips
ConocoPhillips is the largest U.S. independent exploration and production company, operating approximately 2.4 million barrels of oil equivalent per day across its Lower 48, Alaska, Canada, and international segments. The company completed its transformative $22.5 billion Marathon Oil acquisition in late 2024 and is on track for $2 billion in cost synergies by the end of 2026. Full-year 2025 reve…
NKE — NIKE, Inc.
Nike is the world's largest athletic footwear and apparel company with $46.3B in FY2025 revenue, operating across 190+ countries with the Nike, Jordan, and Converse brands. The stock trades near its 9-year low at $42.62 after an 11% single-day crash following a Q3 FY2026 earnings report that showed 35% net income decline and weak Q4 guidance calling for a further 2-4% revenue decline. FY2025 reve…
Accumulation Zones
Metric COP NKE
Zone Low $72.27 $44.00
Zone High $81.91 $50.00
In Buy Zone? No Yes
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