COP vs MS: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of ConocoPhillips and Morgan Stanley — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-09-22.
ConocoPhillips · Energy
$127.53
+32.1% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade B
VS
Morgan Stanley · Financial Services
$206.27
+15.9% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade C
QuantHub Verdict
COP has more upside to fair value
(+32.1%).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
COP |
MS |
| Current Price |
$127.53 |
$206.27 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$168.50 |
$239.00 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
+32.1%
|
+15.9%
|
| Market Cap |
$155.4B |
$325.4B |
| Forward P/E |
—
|
—
|
| EV / EBITDA |
6.2x
|
23.5x
|
| Price / Sales |
2.5x
|
2.6x
|
| Price / FCF |
7.9x
|
—
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+36.8%
|
+22.4%
|
| Gross Margin |
27.7%
|
59.7%
|
| Operating Margin |
21.9%
|
20.7%
|
| Return on Equity |
14.3%
|
18.1%
|
| Dividend Yield |
2.63% |
2.01% |
| FCF Yield |
12.66%
|
—
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Strong Buy
|
Hold
|
Investment Thesis
ConocoPhillips is a global exploration and production company with a portfolio spanning unconventional North American shale, conventional international assets, LNG ventures, and Canadian oil sands, run by a new leadership team after Andy O'Brien became CEO on September 1, 2026. The business quality is medium: it generates substantial cash, with $16.15 in free cash flow per share and a 14.3% retur…
Morgan Stanley is a diversified capital-markets and wealth-management franchise spanning institutional securities, advisor-led and self-directed wealth, workplace services, and investment management. Business quality is solid but inherently cyclical: it combines $8.084 trillion of wealth client assets and $2.004 trillion of investment-management AUM/AUS with a strengthening 15.5% institutional pe…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
COP |
MS |
| Zone Low |
$126.38 |
$179.25 |
| Zone High |
$143.22 |
$203.15 |
| In Buy Zone? |
Yes
|
No
|