COP vs MS: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of ConocoPhillips and Morgan Stanley — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-04-22.
ConocoPhillips · Energy
$122.55
-21.4% upside to fair value
Grade D
VS
Morgan Stanley · Financial Services
$189.30
-30.5% upside to fair value
Grade C
High Quality
QuantHub Verdict
COP has more upside to fair value
(-21.4%).
MS trades at a lower forward P/E
(16.4x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
COP |
MS |
| Current Price |
$122.55 |
$189.30 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$96.36 |
$131.49 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
-21.4%
|
-30.5%
|
| Market Cap |
$149.8B |
$300.6B |
| Forward P/E |
19.3x
|
16.4x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
5.8x
|
24.4x
|
| Price / Sales |
2.5x
|
2.5x
|
| Price / FCF |
8.9x
|
-16.8x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+7.5%
|
+18.8%
|
| Gross Margin |
24.6%
|
58.0%
|
| Operating Margin |
19.6%
|
19.5%
|
| Return on Equity |
12.39%
|
16.7%
|
| Dividend Yield |
3.41% |
0% |
| FCF Yield |
10.9%
|
—
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Buy
|
Hold
|
Investment Thesis
ConocoPhillips is the largest U.S. independent exploration and production company, operating approximately 2.4 million barrels of oil equivalent per day across its Lower 48, Alaska, Canada, and international segments. The company completed its transformative $22.5 billion Marathon Oil acquisition in late 2024 and is on track for $2 billion in cost synergies by the end of 2026. Full-year 2025 reve…
Morgan Stanley is a leading global financial services firm operating in Institutional Securities, Wealth Management, and Investment Management. The company benefits from a durable competitive moat supported by its systemically important status, diversified revenue streams, and strong management with a 36-year veteran CEO. Despite solid fundamentals including 14.2% revenue growth in 2025 and 16.7%…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
COP |
MS |
| Zone Low |
$72.27 |
$98.62 |
| Zone High |
$81.91 |
$111.77 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
No
|