COP vs MELI: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of ConocoPhillips and MercadoLibre, Inc. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-09-22.
ConocoPhillips · Energy
$127.53
+32.1% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade B
VS
MercadoLibre, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical
$1,828.94
+25.8% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade B+
High Quality
QuantHub Verdict
COP has more upside to fair value
(+32.1%).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
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Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
COP |
MELI |
| Current Price |
$127.53 |
$1,828.94 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$168.50 |
$2,300.00 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
+32.1%
|
+25.8%
|
| Market Cap |
$155.4B |
$92.7B |
| Forward P/E |
—
|
—
|
| EV / EBITDA |
6.2x
|
33.0x
|
| Price / Sales |
2.5x
|
2.6x
|
| Price / FCF |
7.9x
|
7.4x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+36.8%
|
+49.8%
|
| Gross Margin |
27.7%
|
42.7%
|
| Operating Margin |
21.9%
|
8.3%
|
| Return on Equity |
14.3%
|
26.5%
|
| Dividend Yield |
2.63% |
0% |
| FCF Yield |
12.66%
|
13.44%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Strong Buy
|
Buy
|
Investment Thesis
ConocoPhillips is a global exploration and production company with a portfolio spanning unconventional North American shale, conventional international assets, LNG ventures, and Canadian oil sands, run by a new leadership team after Andy O'Brien became CEO on September 1, 2026. The business quality is medium: it generates substantial cash, with $16.15 in free cash flow per share and a 14.3% retur…
MercadoLibre operates Latin America's leading ecommerce marketplace alongside Mercado Pago payments, credit, logistics, advertising and loyalty products, creating a broad ecosystem with meaningful network effects and cross-sell. Business momentum remains strong: revenue and financial income grew 49.8% year over year in the most recent quarter to $10.169 billion, GMV increased 44%, TPV rose 56%, a…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
COP |
MELI |
| Zone Low |
$126.38 |
$1,725.00 |
| Zone High |
$143.22 |
$1,955.00 |
| In Buy Zone? |
Yes
|
Yes
|