COP vs MELI: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of ConocoPhillips and MercadoLibre, Inc. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-04-11.
ConocoPhillips · Energy
$122.55
-21.4% upside to fair value
Grade D
VS
MercadoLibre, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical
$1,767.42
+41.4% upside to fair value
High Conviction
Grade A
QuantHub Verdict
MELI has more upside to fair value
(+41.4%).
COP trades at a lower forward P/E
(19.3x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
COP |
MELI |
| Current Price |
$122.55 |
$1,767.42 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$96.36 |
$2,500.00 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
-21.4%
|
+41.4%
|
| Market Cap |
$149.8B |
$89.6B |
| Forward P/E |
19.3x
|
35.0x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
5.8x
|
18.5x
|
| Price / Sales |
2.5x
|
3.1x
|
| Price / FCF |
8.9x
|
8.9x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+7.5%
|
+39.1%
|
| Gross Margin |
24.6%
|
44.5%
|
| Operating Margin |
19.6%
|
11.1%
|
| Return on Equity |
12.39%
|
33.7%
|
| Dividend Yield |
3.41% |
0% |
| FCF Yield |
10.9%
|
12.1%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Buy
|
Strong Buy
|
Investment Thesis
ConocoPhillips is the largest U.S. independent exploration and production company, operating approximately 2.4 million barrels of oil equivalent per day across its Lower 48, Alaska, Canada, and international segments. The company completed its transformative $22.5 billion Marathon Oil acquisition in late 2024 and is on track for $2 billion in cost synergies by the end of 2026. Full-year 2025 reve…
MercadoLibre is the dominant e-commerce and fintech ecosystem across Latin America, operating the largest marketplace and digital payments platform in a region with 670M+ people where e-commerce penetration is still under 15%. Revenue grew 39% to $28.9B in FY2025 with $10.8B in free cash flow — a 12% FCF yield at current prices. The company is trading at its 5-year P/S minimum (3.1x) and P/FCF mi…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
COP |
MELI |
| Zone Low |
$72.27 |
$1,875.00 |
| Zone High |
$81.91 |
$2,125.00 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
Yes
|