COP vs MCD: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of ConocoPhillips and McDonald's Corporation — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-04-11.
ConocoPhillips · Energy
$122.55
-21.4% upside to fair value
Grade D
VS
McDonald's Corporation · Consumer Cyclical
$305.68
+4.7% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade B
QuantHub Verdict
MCD has more upside to fair value
(+4.7%).
COP trades at a lower forward P/E
(19.3x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
COP |
MCD |
| Current Price |
$122.55 |
$305.68 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$96.36 |
$320.00 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
-21.4%
|
+4.7%
|
| Market Cap |
$149.8B |
$218.1B |
| Forward P/E |
19.3x
|
24.5x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
5.8x
|
18.6x
|
| Price / Sales |
2.5x
|
8.1x
|
| Price / FCF |
8.9x
|
30.3x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+7.5%
|
+3.7%
|
| Gross Margin |
24.6%
|
57.4%
|
| Operating Margin |
19.6%
|
46.1%
|
| Return on Equity |
12.39%
|
—
|
| Dividend Yield |
3.41% |
2.4% |
| FCF Yield |
10.9%
|
3.3%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Buy
|
Buy
|
Investment Thesis
ConocoPhillips is the largest U.S. independent exploration and production company, operating approximately 2.4 million barrels of oil equivalent per day across its Lower 48, Alaska, Canada, and international segments. The company completed its transformative $22.5 billion Marathon Oil acquisition in late 2024 and is on track for $2 billion in cost synergies by the end of 2026. Full-year 2025 reve…
McDonald's operates the world's largest quick-service restaurant franchise with over 40,000 locations across 100+ countries, generating $26.9B in FY2025 revenue with roughly 60% from franchised operations. The asset-light franchise model produces 46% operating margins and $7.2B in annual free cash flow. Revenue growth reaccelerated modestly to 3.7% in FY2025 from 1.7% in FY2024, driven by the Int…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
COP |
MCD |
| Zone Low |
$72.27 |
$240.00 |
| Zone High |
$81.91 |
$272.00 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
No
|