COP vs MCD: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of ConocoPhillips and McDonald's Corporation — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-05-09.
ConocoPhillips · Energy
$125.78
-2.1% upside to fair value
Grade C
VS
McDonald's Corporation · Consumer Cyclical
$275.75
+18.8% upside to fair value
Grade C
High Quality
QuantHub Verdict
MCD has more upside to fair value
(+18.8%).
COP trades at a lower forward P/E
(21.0x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
COP |
MCD |
| Current Price |
$125.78 |
$275.75 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$123.15 |
$327.62 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
-2.1%
|
+18.8%
|
| Market Cap |
$153.3B |
$196.0B |
| Forward P/E |
21.0x
|
22.6x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
7.5x
|
16.7x
|
| Price / Sales |
2.6x
|
7.1x
|
| Price / FCF |
8.4x
|
27.9x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
-2.5%
|
+9.4%
|
| Gross Margin |
33.1%
|
57.4%
|
| Operating Margin |
25.4%
|
46.0%
|
| Return on Equity |
11.3%
|
-434.0%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0% |
0% |
| FCF Yield |
11.96%
|
3.59%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Strong Buy
|
Buy
|
Investment Thesis
ConocoPhillips is a leading independent oil and gas exploration and production company with a strong focus on low-cost shale assets and sustainability initiatives. The company benefits from a durable competitive position due to its cost advantage and early ESG leadership, but faces near-term earnings pressure as revenue declined 2.5% and earnings fell 23.4% in the most recent quarter year-over-ye…
McDonald's Corporation operates a global quick-service restaurant business with a strong competitive moat driven by brand recognition, extensive franchising, and digital innovation. The company reported $26.9 billion in revenue for fiscal 2025, growing 4% year-over-year, with significant contributions from its International Operated Markets segment growing nearly 8%. Despite a high valuation regi…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
COP |
MCD |
| Zone Low |
$92.36 |
$245.72 |
| Zone High |
$104.68 |
$278.48 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
Yes
|