COP vs MCD: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of ConocoPhillips and McDonald's Corporation — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-07-20.
ConocoPhillips · Energy
$108.44
-21.6% upside to fair value
Grade D
VS
McDonald's Corporation · Consumer Cyclical
$267.71
+20.6% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade C+
High Quality
QuantHub Verdict
MCD has more upside to fair value
(+20.6%).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
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Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
COP |
MCD |
| Current Price |
$108.44 |
$267.71 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$85.04 |
$322.85 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
-21.6%
|
+20.6%
|
| Market Cap |
$132.1B |
$190.2B |
| Forward P/E |
18.4x
|
—
|
| EV / EBITDA |
6.1x
|
16.4x
|
| Price / Sales |
2.3x
|
6.9x
|
| Price / FCF |
8.6x
|
27.0x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
-2.5%
|
+9.4%
|
| Gross Margin |
29.2%
|
57.4%
|
| Operating Margin |
18.3%
|
46.0%
|
| Return on Equity |
11.3%
|
-433.9%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0% |
2.75% |
| FCF Yield |
11.64%
|
3.7%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Strong Buy
|
Buy
|
Investment Thesis
ConocoPhillips is a major player in the Energy sector focused on Oil & Gas Exploration & Production. The company demonstrates medium business quality with a stable competitive position but faces earnings pressure as reflected in a 23.4% decline in earnings and a 2.5% decline in revenue in the most recent quarter year-over-year. Despite a solid ROE of 11.3% and attractive margins (gross margin 29.…
McDonald's is a global quick-service restaurant franchisor and real-estate platform whose approximately 95% franchised restaurant base generates unusually high-margin, recurring royalty and rent income, supporting a 46.0% operating margin and 31.6% net margin. Business quality is high because its brand, global purchasing scale, nearly 29,000 drive-thrus, digital ecosystem and 210 million 90-day a…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
COP |
MCD |
| Zone Low |
$63.78 |
$242.14 |
| Zone High |
$72.28 |
$274.42 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
Yes
|