COP vs MCD: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of ConocoPhillips and McDonald's Corporation — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-09-22.
ConocoPhillips · Energy
$127.53
+32.1% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade B
VS
McDonald's Corporation · Consumer Cyclical
$252.78
+40.7% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade A
High Quality
QuantHub Verdict
MCD has more upside to fair value
(+40.7%).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
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Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
COP |
MCD |
| Current Price |
$127.53 |
$252.78 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$168.50 |
$355.71 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
+32.1%
|
+40.7%
|
| Market Cap |
$155.4B |
$179.6B |
| Forward P/E |
—
|
—
|
| EV / EBITDA |
6.2x
|
15.5x
|
| Price / Sales |
2.5x
|
6.5x
|
| Price / FCF |
7.9x
|
23.1x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+36.8%
|
+3.8%
|
| Gross Margin |
27.7%
|
57.4%
|
| Operating Margin |
21.9%
|
45.8%
|
| Return on Equity |
14.3%
|
-561.2%
|
| Dividend Yield |
2.63% |
2.94% |
| FCF Yield |
12.66%
|
4.32%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Strong Buy
|
Buy
|
Investment Thesis
ConocoPhillips is a global exploration and production company with a portfolio spanning unconventional North American shale, conventional international assets, LNG ventures, and Canadian oil sands, run by a new leadership team after Andy O'Brien became CEO on September 1, 2026. The business quality is medium: it generates substantial cash, with $16.15 in free cash flow per share and a 14.3% retur…
McDonald's operates a globally scaled, approximately 95% franchised restaurant system with 46,028 restaurants in more than 100 countries, combining a powerful consumer brand, real-estate-backed franchise economics, supplier scale and digital loyalty reach. Business quality is high despite meaningful leverage: TTM gross, operating and net margins are 57.4%, 45.8% and 31.7%, respectively, while loy…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
COP |
MCD |
| Zone Low |
$126.38 |
$266.78 |
| Zone High |
$143.22 |
$302.35 |
| In Buy Zone? |
Yes
|
Yes
|