COP vs MAR: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of ConocoPhillips and Marriott International, Inc. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-07-20.
ConocoPhillips · Energy
$108.44
-21.6% upside to fair value
Grade D
VS
Marriott International, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical
$366.24
-3.4% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade C
QuantHub Verdict
MAR has more upside to fair value
(-3.4%).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
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Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
COP |
MAR |
| Current Price |
$108.44 |
$366.24 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$85.04 |
$353.64 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
-21.6%
|
-3.4%
|
| Market Cap |
$132.1B |
$96.6B |
| Forward P/E |
18.4x
|
—
|
| EV / EBITDA |
6.1x
|
23.8x
|
| Price / Sales |
2.3x
|
3.7x
|
| Price / FCF |
8.6x
|
31.6x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
-2.5%
|
+6.2%
|
| Gross Margin |
29.2%
|
21.4%
|
| Operating Margin |
18.3%
|
16.0%
|
| Return on Equity |
11.3%
|
-74.1%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0% |
0.75% |
| FCF Yield |
11.64%
|
3.17%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Strong Buy
|
Hold
|
Investment Thesis
ConocoPhillips is a major player in the Energy sector focused on Oil & Gas Exploration & Production. The company demonstrates medium business quality with a stable competitive position but faces earnings pressure as reflected in a 23.4% decline in earnings and a 2.5% decline in revenue in the most recent quarter year-over-year. Despite a solid ROE of 11.3% and attractive margins (gross margin 29.…
Marriott International is a global asset-light hotel franchisor, manager and licensor whose high-quality brands, nearly 283 million Bonvoy members, more than 9,900 properties across 146 countries and record 4,107-property development pipeline create meaningful network, distribution and brand advantages. Q1 2026 demonstrated resilient underlying fee economics: adjusted revenue excluding cost-reimb…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
COP |
MAR |
| Zone Low |
$63.78 |
$265.23 |
| Zone High |
$72.28 |
$300.59 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
No
|