COP vs MAR: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of ConocoPhillips and Marriott International, Inc. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-05-07.
ConocoPhillips · Energy
$125.78
-2.1% upside to fair value
Grade C
VS
Marriott International, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical
$359.06
-45.0% upside to fair value
Grade D
QuantHub Verdict
COP has more upside to fair value
(-2.1%).
COP trades at a lower forward P/E
(21.0x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
COP |
MAR |
| Current Price |
$125.78 |
$359.06 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$123.15 |
$197.48 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
-2.1%
|
-45.0%
|
| Market Cap |
$153.3B |
$95.2B |
| Forward P/E |
21.0x
|
37.7x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
7.5x
|
29.5x
|
| Price / Sales |
2.6x
|
4.4x
|
| Price / FCF |
8.4x
|
29.3x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
-2.5%
|
-71.1%
|
| Gross Margin |
33.1%
|
6.0%
|
| Operating Margin |
25.4%
|
19.6%
|
| Return on Equity |
11.3%
|
-78.5%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0% |
0% |
| FCF Yield |
11.96%
|
3.41%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Strong Buy
|
Hold
|
Investment Thesis
ConocoPhillips is a leading independent oil and gas exploration and production company with a strong focus on low-cost shale assets and sustainability initiatives. The company benefits from a durable competitive position due to its cost advantage and early ESG leadership, but faces near-term earnings pressure as revenue declined 2.5% and earnings fell 23.4% in the most recent quarter year-over-ye…
Marriott International operates a global fee-driven, asset-light hotel business with a portfolio of over 30 brands and a strong competitive position in the travel lodging industry. The company benefits from a durable competitive moat supported by its brand strength, extensive network, and recurring franchise and management fees. However, recent financials show significant headwinds with a 71.1% y…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
COP |
MAR |
| Zone Low |
$92.36 |
$148.11 |
| Zone High |
$104.68 |
$167.86 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
No
|