COP vs MAR: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of ConocoPhillips and Marriott International, Inc. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-04-18.
ConocoPhillips · Energy
$122.55
-21.4% upside to fair value
Grade D
VS
Marriott International, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical
$377.93
-16.6% upside to fair value
Grade D
QuantHub Verdict
MAR has more upside to fair value
(-16.6%).
COP trades at a lower forward P/E
(19.3x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
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Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
COP |
MAR |
| Current Price |
$122.55 |
$377.93 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$96.36 |
$315.15 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
-21.4%
|
-16.6%
|
| Market Cap |
$149.8B |
$100.2B |
| Forward P/E |
19.3x
|
39.0x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
5.8x
|
25.3x
|
| Price / Sales |
2.5x
|
3.8x
|
| Price / FCF |
8.9x
|
34.6x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+7.5%
|
+3.1%
|
| Gross Margin |
24.6%
|
21.3%
|
| Operating Margin |
19.6%
|
15.8%
|
| Return on Equity |
12.39%
|
-79.9%
|
| Dividend Yield |
3.41% |
0% |
| FCF Yield |
10.9%
|
2.89%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Buy
|
Hold
|
Investment Thesis
ConocoPhillips is the largest U.S. independent exploration and production company, operating approximately 2.4 million barrels of oil equivalent per day across its Lower 48, Alaska, Canada, and international segments. The company completed its transformative $22.5 billion Marathon Oil acquisition in late 2024 and is on track for $2 billion in cost synergies by the end of 2026. Full-year 2025 reve…
Marriott International operates the world's largest hospitality portfolio with approximately 8,900 to 9,000 properties across 141 countries and over 30 brands, supported by the largest loyalty program with 203 to 210 million members. The company benefits from a durable competitive moat driven by scale, brand strength, and network effects. However, despite steady revenue growth of 3.1% year-over-y…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
COP |
MAR |
| Zone Low |
$72.27 |
$236.36 |
| Zone High |
$81.91 |
$267.88 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
No
|