COP vs MA: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of ConocoPhillips and Mastercard Incorporated — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-05-13.
ConocoPhillips · Energy
$125.78
-2.1% upside to fair value
Grade C
VS
Mastercard Incorporated · Financial Services
$499.81
+5.0% upside to fair value
Grade B+
High Quality
QuantHub Verdict
MA has more upside to fair value
(+5.0%).
COP trades at a lower forward P/E
(21.0x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
COP |
MA |
| Current Price |
$125.78 |
$499.81 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$123.15 |
$525.00 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
-2.1%
|
+5.0%
|
| Market Cap |
$153.3B |
$441.6B |
| Forward P/E |
21.0x
|
28.6x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
7.5x
|
21.3x
|
| Price / Sales |
2.6x
|
13.0x
|
| Price / FCF |
8.4x
|
24.9x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
-2.5%
|
+15.8%
|
| Gross Margin |
33.1%
|
83.0%
|
| Operating Margin |
25.4%
|
59.4%
|
| Return on Equity |
11.3%
|
206.1%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0% |
0.6% |
| FCF Yield |
11.96%
|
4.01%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Strong Buy
|
Strong Buy
|
Investment Thesis
ConocoPhillips is a leading independent oil and gas exploration and production company with a strong focus on low-cost shale assets and sustainability initiatives. The company benefits from a durable competitive position due to its cost advantage and early ESG leadership, but faces near-term earnings pressure as revenue declined 2.5% and earnings fell 23.4% in the most recent quarter year-over-ye…
Mastercard is one of two global payment network duopolists alongside Visa, with structurally high margins (83% gross, 59% operating, 46% net), powerful network effects, and durable secular tailwinds from the ongoing cash-to-card and card-to-digital migration. Q1 2026 results reported April 30 showed revenue of $8.40 billion (+15.8% YoY) and EPS of $4.35 (+20.8% YoY), driven by continued cross-bor…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
COP |
MA |
| Zone Low |
$92.36 |
$393.75 |
| Zone High |
$104.68 |
$446.25 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
No
|