COP vs HD: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of ConocoPhillips and The Home Depot, Inc. โ fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-07-13.
ConocoPhillips ยท Energy
$108.44
-21.6% upside to fair value
Grade D
VS
The Home Depot, Inc. ยท Consumer Cyclical
$343.30
+34.6% upside to fair value
Grade A
High Quality
QuantHub Verdict
HD has more upside to fair value
(+34.6%).
COP trades at a lower forward P/E
(18.4x).
These are model outputs โ not personalized investment advice.
See all research โ
Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
COP |
HD |
| Current Price |
$108.44 |
$343.30 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$85.04 |
$462.14 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
-21.6%
|
+34.6%
|
| Market Cap |
$132.1B |
$342.3B |
| Forward P/E |
18.4x
|
24.3x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
6.1x
|
16.5x
|
| Price / Sales |
2.3x
|
2.0x
|
| Price / FCF |
8.6x
|
23.9x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
-2.5%
|
+4.8%
|
| Gross Margin |
29.2%
|
33.1%
|
| Operating Margin |
18.3%
|
12.4%
|
| Return on Equity |
11.3%
|
113.3%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0% |
0% |
| FCF Yield |
11.64%
|
4.18%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Strong Buy
|
Buy
|
Investment Thesis
ConocoPhillips is a major player in the Energy sector focused on Oil & Gas Exploration & Production. The company demonstrates medium business quality with a stable competitive position but faces earnings pressure as reflected in a 23.4% decline in earnings and a 2.5% decline in revenue in the most recent quarter year-over-year. Despite a solid ROE of 11.3% and attractive margins (gross margin 29.โฆ
The Home Depot, Inc. operates as a leading home improvement retailer in the consumer cyclical sector, leveraging a strong brand and cost advantages to maintain a durable competitive moat. Despite a modest revenue growth of 4.8% and a decline in earnings by 4.2% in the most recent quarter, the company exhibits exceptional profitability metrics including a 113.3% return on equity and solid margins โฆ
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
COP |
HD |
| Zone Low |
$63.78 |
$346.61 |
| Zone High |
$72.28 |
$392.82 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
Yes
|