COP vs HD: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of ConocoPhillips and The Home Depot, Inc. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-04-11.
ConocoPhillips · Energy
$122.55
-21.4% upside to fair value
Grade D
VS
The Home Depot, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical
$337.34
+12.1% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade B
QuantHub Verdict
HD has more upside to fair value
(+12.1%).
COP trades at a lower forward P/E
(19.3x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
COP |
HD |
| Current Price |
$122.55 |
$337.34 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$96.36 |
$378.00 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
-21.4%
|
+12.1%
|
| Market Cap |
$149.8B |
$336.0B |
| Forward P/E |
19.3x
|
23.0x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
5.8x
|
18.1x
|
| Price / Sales |
2.5x
|
2.3x
|
| Price / FCF |
8.9x
|
29.7x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+7.5%
|
+3.2%
|
| Gross Margin |
24.6%
|
33.3%
|
| Operating Margin |
19.6%
|
12.7%
|
| Return on Equity |
12.39%
|
110.5%
|
| Dividend Yield |
3.41% |
2.44% |
| FCF Yield |
10.9%
|
3.37%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Buy
|
Buy
|
Investment Thesis
ConocoPhillips is the largest U.S. independent exploration and production company, operating approximately 2.4 million barrels of oil equivalent per day across its Lower 48, Alaska, Canada, and international segments. The company completed its transformative $22.5 billion Marathon Oil acquisition in late 2024 and is on track for $2 billion in cost synergies by the end of 2026. Full-year 2025 reve…
Home Depot remains the world's largest home improvement retailer with 2,350+ stores, dominant 52% market share, and a rapidly growing Pro contractor segment bolstered by the SRS Distribution acquisition. The stock has declined 21% from its $427 high to $337, but now trades at 2.28x P/S, near the 5-year median of 2.31x, and 26.5x P/E which is above the 5-year median of 23.5x. EPS declined 4.6% in …
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
COP |
HD |
| Zone Low |
$72.27 |
$285.00 |
| Zone High |
$81.91 |
$320.00 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
No
|