COP vs HD: Which Is the Better Buy?

Side-by-side comparison of ConocoPhillips and The Home Depot, Inc. โ€” fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals. Updated 2026-07-13.
ConocoPhillips ยท Energy
$108.44
-21.6% upside to fair value
Grade D
VS
The Home Depot, Inc. ยท Consumer Cyclical
$343.30
+34.6% upside to fair value
Grade A High Quality
QuantHub Verdict
HD has more upside to fair value (+34.6%). COP trades at a lower forward P/E (18.4x). These are model outputs โ€” not personalized investment advice. See all research โ†’
Valuation & Fundamentals
Metric COP HD
Current Price $108.44 $343.30
Fair Value Estimate $85.04 $462.14
Upside to Fair Value -21.6% +34.6%
Market Cap $132.1B $342.3B
Forward P/E 18.4x 24.3x
EV / EBITDA 6.1x 16.5x
Price / Sales 2.3x 2.0x
Price / FCF 8.6x 23.9x
Revenue Growth YoY -2.5% +4.8%
Gross Margin 29.2% 33.1%
Operating Margin 18.3% 12.4%
Return on Equity 11.3% 113.3%
Dividend Yield 0% 0%
FCF Yield 11.64% 4.18%
Analyst Consensus Strong Buy Buy
Investment Thesis
COP โ€” ConocoPhillips
ConocoPhillips is a major player in the Energy sector focused on Oil & Gas Exploration & Production. The company demonstrates medium business quality with a stable competitive position but faces earnings pressure as reflected in a 23.4% decline in earnings and a 2.5% decline in revenue in the most recent quarter year-over-year. Despite a solid ROE of 11.3% and attractive margins (gross margin 29.โ€ฆ
HD โ€” The Home Depot, Inc.
The Home Depot, Inc. operates as a leading home improvement retailer in the consumer cyclical sector, leveraging a strong brand and cost advantages to maintain a durable competitive moat. Despite a modest revenue growth of 4.8% and a decline in earnings by 4.2% in the most recent quarter, the company exhibits exceptional profitability metrics including a 113.3% return on equity and solid margins โ€ฆ
Accumulation Zones
Metric COP HD
Zone Low $63.78 $346.61
Zone High $72.28 $392.82
In Buy Zone? No Yes
โ† COP Research    HD Research โ†’    All Research