COP vs HD: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of ConocoPhillips and The Home Depot, Inc. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-09-25.
ConocoPhillips · Energy
$127.53
+32.1% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade B
VS
The Home Depot, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical
$292.18
+44.2% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade B
High Quality
QuantHub Verdict
HD has more upside to fair value
(+44.2%).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
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Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
COP |
HD |
| Current Price |
$127.53 |
$292.18 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$168.50 |
$421.26 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
+32.1%
|
+44.2%
|
| Market Cap |
$155.4B |
$291.3B |
| Forward P/E |
—
|
—
|
| EV / EBITDA |
6.2x
|
14.7x
|
| Price / Sales |
2.5x
|
1.7x
|
| Price / FCF |
7.9x
|
19.2x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+36.8%
|
+5.7%
|
| Gross Margin |
27.7%
|
33.2%
|
| Operating Margin |
21.9%
|
12.4%
|
| Return on Equity |
14.3%
|
102.7%
|
| Dividend Yield |
2.63% |
3.18% |
| FCF Yield |
12.66%
|
5.2%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Strong Buy
|
Strong Buy
|
Investment Thesis
ConocoPhillips is a global exploration and production company with a portfolio spanning unconventional North American shale, conventional international assets, LNG ventures, and Canadian oil sands, run by a new leadership team after Andy O'Brien became CEO on September 1, 2026. The business quality is medium: it generates substantial cash, with $16.15 in free cash flow per share and a 14.3% retur…
The Home Depot is the largest home-improvement retailer in the United States, operating a network of roughly 2,300 stores supported by about 472,400 full-time employees, and serving both do-it-yourself homeowners and professional contractors through stores, homedepot.com, and specialty sites such as blinds.com. The business quality is high: it generates a 102.7% return on equity, a 33.2% trailing…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
COP |
HD |
| Zone Low |
$126.38 |
$315.94 |
| Zone High |
$143.22 |
$358.07 |
| In Buy Zone? |
Yes
|
Yes
|