COP vs DE: Which Is the Better Buy?

Side-by-side comparison of ConocoPhillips and Deere & Company β€” fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals. Updated 2026-05-04.
ConocoPhillips Β· Energy
$125.78
+7.3% upside to fair value
Grade C
VS
Deere & Company Β· Industrials
$578.39
+22.4% upside to fair value
Grade C
QuantHub Verdict
DE has more upside to fair value (+22.4%). COP trades at a lower forward P/E (21.0x). These are model outputs β€” not personalized investment advice. See all research β†’
Valuation & Fundamentals
Metric COP DE
Current Price $125.78 $578.39
Fair Value Estimate $134.90 $708.19
Upside to Fair Value +7.3% +22.4%
Market Cap $153.3B $156.2B
Forward P/E 21.0x 32.5x
EV / EBITDA 7.5x 18.4x
Price / Sales 2.6x 3.4x
Price / FCF 8.4x 43.7x
Revenue Growth YoY -2.5% +16.3%
Gross Margin 33.1% 35.6%
Operating Margin 25.4% 18.5%
Return on Equity 11.3% 18.9%
Dividend Yield 0% 0%
FCF Yield 11.96% 2.29%
Analyst Consensus Strong Buy Buy
Investment Thesis
COP β€” ConocoPhillips
ConocoPhillips is a leading independent oil and gas exploration and production company with a strong focus on low-cost shale assets and sustainability initiatives. The company benefits from a durable competitive position due to its cost advantage and early ESG leadership, but faces near-term earnings pressure as revenue declined 2.5% and earnings fell 23.4% in the most recent quarter year-over-ye…
DE β€” Deere & Company
Deere & Company is a leading manufacturer of agricultural, construction, and forestry machinery, with a strong position in production and precision agriculture, small agriculture and turf, and construction and forestry segments. The company benefits from a durable competitive moat driven by its brand, intangible assets, and switching costs, supported by a CEO with deep institutional knowledge and…
Accumulation Zones
Metric COP DE
Zone Low $101.18 $531.14
Zone High $114.67 $601.96
In Buy Zone? No Yes
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