COP vs COST: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of ConocoPhillips and Costco Wholesale Corporation — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-09-25.
ConocoPhillips · Energy
$127.53
+32.1% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade B
VS
Costco Wholesale Corporation · Consumer Defensive
$896.48
+24.7% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade B
High Quality
QuantHub Verdict
COP has more upside to fair value
(+32.1%).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
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Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
COP |
COST |
| Current Price |
$127.53 |
$896.48 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$168.50 |
$1,117.50 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
+32.1%
|
+24.7%
|
| Market Cap |
$155.4B |
$397.6B |
| Forward P/E |
—
|
—
|
| EV / EBITDA |
6.2x
|
32.7x
|
| Price / Sales |
2.5x
|
1.3x
|
| Price / FCF |
7.9x
|
42.4x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+36.8%
|
+11.1%
|
| Gross Margin |
27.7%
|
17.5%
|
| Operating Margin |
21.9%
|
3.9%
|
| Return on Equity |
14.3%
|
28.0%
|
| Dividend Yield |
2.63% |
0.62% |
| FCF Yield |
12.66%
|
2.36%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Strong Buy
|
Strong Buy
|
Investment Thesis
ConocoPhillips is a global exploration and production company with a portfolio spanning unconventional North American shale, conventional international assets, LNG ventures, and Canadian oil sands, run by a new leadership team after Andy O'Brien became CEO on September 1, 2026. The business quality is medium: it generates substantial cash, with $16.15 in free cash flow per share and a 14.3% retur…
Costco Wholesale Corporation operates a global network of membership-based warehouse clubs, selling branded and private-label merchandise across the United States, Canada, Mexico, Japan, the United Kingdom, South Korea, Taiwan, Australia, Spain, France, Iceland, and China, supplemented by pharmacies, optical centers, food courts, hearing aid centers, tire installation, 636 gas stations, and e-com…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
COP |
COST |
| Zone Low |
$126.38 |
$838.12 |
| Zone High |
$143.22 |
$949.88 |
| In Buy Zone? |
Yes
|
Yes
|