COP vs COST: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of ConocoPhillips and Costco Wholesale Corporation — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-07-08.
ConocoPhillips · Energy
$108.44
-21.6% upside to fair value
Grade D
VS
Costco Wholesale Corporation · Consumer Defensive
$947.50
-1.4% upside to fair value
Grade C
High Quality
QuantHub Verdict
COST has more upside to fair value
(-1.4%).
COP trades at a lower forward P/E
(18.4x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
COP |
COST |
| Current Price |
$108.44 |
$947.50 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$85.04 |
$933.84 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
-21.6%
|
-1.4%
|
| Market Cap |
$132.1B |
$420.2B |
| Forward P/E |
18.4x
|
47.6x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
6.1x
|
28.3x
|
| Price / Sales |
2.3x
|
1.4x
|
| Price / FCF |
8.6x
|
47.7x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
-2.5%
|
+11.6%
|
| Gross Margin |
29.2%
|
12.9%
|
| Operating Margin |
18.3%
|
3.8%
|
| Return on Equity |
11.3%
|
28.3%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0% |
0% |
| FCF Yield |
11.64%
|
2.1%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Strong Buy
|
Buy
|
Investment Thesis
ConocoPhillips is a major player in the Energy sector focused on Oil & Gas Exploration & Production. The company demonstrates medium business quality with a stable competitive position but faces earnings pressure as reflected in a 23.4% decline in earnings and a 2.5% decline in revenue in the most recent quarter year-over-year. Despite a solid ROE of 11.3% and attractive margins (gross margin 29.…
Costco Wholesale Corporation operates as a membership-only warehouse club offering a wide range of merchandise at low prices. The company exhibits high business quality with a durable competitive moat driven by cost advantages, strong brand loyalty, and efficient operations, reflected in a robust ROE of 28.3% and solid revenue growth of 11.6% in the most recent quarter. Despite these strengths, t…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
COP |
COST |
| Zone Low |
$63.78 |
$700.38 |
| Zone High |
$72.28 |
$793.76 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
No
|