COP vs COST: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of ConocoPhillips and Costco Wholesale Corporation — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-05-01.
ConocoPhillips · Energy
$125.78
-2.1% upside to fair value
Grade C
VS
Costco Wholesale Corporation · Consumer Defensive
$999.89
-20.7% upside to fair value
Grade D
High Quality
QuantHub Verdict
COP has more upside to fair value
(-2.1%).
COP trades at a lower forward P/E
(21.0x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
COP |
COST |
| Current Price |
$125.78 |
$999.89 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$123.15 |
$793.02 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
-2.1%
|
-20.7%
|
| Market Cap |
$153.3B |
$443.6B |
| Forward P/E |
21.0x
|
51.9x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
7.5x
|
30.9x
|
| Price / Sales |
2.6x
|
1.6x
|
| Price / FCF |
8.4x
|
48.8x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
-2.5%
|
+9.2%
|
| Gross Margin |
33.1%
|
12.9%
|
| Operating Margin |
25.4%
|
3.8%
|
| Return on Equity |
11.3%
|
28.8%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0% |
0% |
| FCF Yield |
11.96%
|
2.05%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Strong Buy
|
Buy
|
Investment Thesis
ConocoPhillips is a leading independent oil and gas exploration and production company with a strong focus on low-cost shale assets and sustainability initiatives. The company benefits from a durable competitive position due to its cost advantage and early ESG leadership, but faces near-term earnings pressure as revenue declined 2.5% and earnings fell 23.4% in the most recent quarter year-over-ye…
Costco Wholesale Corporation operates a global membership-based warehouse club model that leverages scale, low costs, and superior employee retention to deliver consistent revenue and earnings growth. The company reported $269.9 billion in net sales for fiscal 2025 with an 8% year-over-year increase, driven by strong segments in Foods and Sundries and membership fees exceeding $5.65 billion in th…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
COP |
COST |
| Zone Low |
$92.36 |
$594.76 |
| Zone High |
$104.68 |
$674.07 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
No
|