COP vs COST: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of ConocoPhillips and Costco Wholesale Corporation — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-04-11.
ConocoPhillips · Energy
$122.55
-21.4% upside to fair value
Grade D
VS
Costco Wholesale Corporation · Consumer Defensive
$1,002.88
-35.4% upside to fair value
Grade C
High Quality
QuantHub Verdict
COP has more upside to fair value
(-21.4%).
COP trades at a lower forward P/E
(19.3x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
COP |
COST |
| Current Price |
$122.55 |
$1,002.88 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$96.36 |
$648.03 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
-21.4%
|
-35.4%
|
| Market Cap |
$149.8B |
$444.9B |
| Forward P/E |
19.3x
|
52.1x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
5.8x
|
31.0x
|
| Price / Sales |
2.5x
|
1.6x
|
| Price / FCF |
8.9x
|
49.0x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+7.5%
|
+3.4%
|
| Gross Margin |
24.6%
|
12.9%
|
| Operating Margin |
19.6%
|
3.8%
|
| Return on Equity |
12.39%
|
28.8%
|
| Dividend Yield |
3.41% |
0% |
| FCF Yield |
10.9%
|
2.04%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Buy
|
Strong Buy
|
Investment Thesis
ConocoPhillips is the largest U.S. independent exploration and production company, operating approximately 2.4 million barrels of oil equivalent per day across its Lower 48, Alaska, Canada, and international segments. The company completed its transformative $22.5 billion Marathon Oil acquisition in late 2024 and is on track for $2 billion in cost synergies by the end of 2026. Full-year 2025 reve…
Costco Wholesale Corporation operates a global membership-based warehouse club model with over 900 warehouses across 14 countries, generating $254 billion in fiscal 2024 revenue. The company benefits from a durable competitive moat driven by scale advantages, a loyal membership base with high renewal rates, and superior employee retention through better wages and benefits. Despite steady revenue …
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
COP |
COST |
| Zone Low |
$72.27 |
$486.02 |
| Zone High |
$81.91 |
$550.83 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
No
|