CEG vs UPS: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of Constellation Energy Corporation and United Parcel Service, Inc. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-09-22.
Constellation Energy Corporation · Utilities
$262.11
-4.2% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade C
High Quality
VS
United Parcel Service, Inc. · Industrials
$99.02
+21.1% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade B
QuantHub Verdict
UPS has more upside to fair value
(+21.1%).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
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Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
CEG |
UPS |
| Current Price |
$262.11 |
$99.02 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$250.98 |
$119.92 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
-4.2%
|
+21.1%
|
| Market Cap |
$94.1B |
$84.1B |
| Forward P/E |
—
|
—
|
| EV / EBITDA |
13.9x
|
10.2x
|
| Price / Sales |
3.0x
|
0.9x
|
| Price / FCF |
300.3x
|
15.3x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+23.0%
|
+7.6%
|
| Gross Margin |
94.9%
|
16.6%
|
| Operating Margin |
14.7%
|
7.3%
|
| Return on Equity |
14.7%
|
29.1%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0.64% |
6.62% |
| FCF Yield |
0.33%
|
6.52%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Strong Buy
|
Hold
|
Investment Thesis
Constellation Energy is the largest U.S. producer of carbon-free electricity, operating roughly 32,400 megawatts of nuclear, gas, wind, solar, and hydro generation across the Mid-Atlantic, Midwest, New York, ERCOT, and other power markets, with a 94.9% TTM gross margin that reflects the low marginal cost of nuclear fuel and the scarcity value of firm clean power. The business quality is genuinely…
United Parcel Service is the world's largest integrated package delivery and logistics network, operating U.S. Domestic Package and International Package segments with roughly 460,000 employees and a 119-year operating history. The business quality is medium: the global air-and-ground network, brand, and scale are genuine assets, but the company is exposed to commoditized freight, Amazon volume c…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
CEG |
UPS |
| Zone Low |
$188.23 |
$89.94 |
| Zone High |
$213.33 |
$101.93 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
Yes
|