CEG vs UPS: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of Constellation Energy Corporation and United Parcel Service, Inc. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-08-06.
Constellation Energy Corporation · Utilities
$265.12
+11.3% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade B-
VS
United Parcel Service, Inc. · Industrials
$105.00
+12.9% upside to fair value
Grade B
QuantHub Verdict
UPS has more upside to fair value
(+12.9%).
UPS trades at a lower forward P/E
(17.0x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
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Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
CEG |
UPS |
| Current Price |
$265.12 |
$105.00 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$295.00 |
$118.53 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
+11.3%
|
+12.9%
|
| Market Cap |
$95.2B |
$89.2B |
| Forward P/E |
22.6x
|
17.0x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
12.6x
|
9.6x
|
| Price / Sales |
2.9x
|
1.0x
|
| Price / FCF |
196.2x
|
19.8x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+35.3%
|
-1.6%
|
| Gross Margin |
44.6%
|
17.8%
|
| Operating Margin |
14.6%
|
8.5%
|
| Return on Equity |
11.1%
|
33.0%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0.64% |
0% |
| FCF Yield |
0.51%
|
5.06%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Buy
|
Buy
|
Investment Thesis
Constellation Energy is the largest private-sector power producer in the world and the largest operator of nuclear plants in the United States, controlling roughly 32,400 megawatts of largely carbon-free generation before its January 2026 acquisition of Calpine added about 23 gigawatts of natural gas and geothermal capacity to create a nearly 60 gigawatt platform spanning nuclear, gas, wind, sola…
United Parcel Service, Inc. operates as a global integrated freight and logistics company with a strong presence in U.S. domestic package delivery, international package services, and supply chain solutions. The company benefits from a durable competitive moat supported by its extensive network capabilities, premium service positioning, and strategic focus on higher-margin segments such as health…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
CEG |
UPS |
| Zone Low |
$221.00 |
$88.90 |
| Zone High |
$251.00 |
$100.75 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
No
|