CEG vs LLY: Which Is the Better Buy?

Side-by-side comparison of Constellation Energy Corporation and Eli Lilly and Company — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals. Updated 2026-09-26.
Constellation Energy Corporation · Utilities
$262.11
-4.2% upside to fair value
Med Conviction Grade C High Quality
VS
Eli Lilly and Company · Healthcare
$1,183.72
+2.1% upside to fair value
Med Conviction Grade B High Quality
QuantHub Verdict
LLY has more upside to fair value (+2.1%). These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice. See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
Metric CEG LLY
Current Price $262.11 $1,183.72
Fair Value Estimate $250.98 $1,208.00
Upside to Fair Value -4.2% +2.1%
Market Cap $94.1B $1,114.8B
Forward P/E — —
EV / EBITDA 13.9x 26.8x
Price / Sales 3.0x 14.0x
Price / FCF 300.3x 52.7x
Revenue Growth YoY +23.0% +47.7%
Gross Margin 94.9% 83.4%
Operating Margin 14.7% 49.7%
Return on Equity 14.7% 92.6%
Dividend Yield 0.64% 0.57%
FCF Yield 0.33% 1.9%
Analyst Consensus Strong Buy Strong Buy
Investment Thesis
CEG — Constellation Energy Corporation
Constellation Energy is the largest U.S. producer of carbon-free electricity, operating roughly 32,400 megawatts of nuclear, gas, wind, solar, and hydro generation across the Mid-Atlantic, Midwest, New York, ERCOT, and other power markets, with a 94.9% TTM gross margin that reflects the low marginal cost of nuclear fuel and the scarcity value of firm clean power. The business quality is genuinely…
LLY — Eli Lilly and Company
Eli Lilly is a global pharmaceutical company whose incretin franchise, led by Mounjaro and Zepbound, has become the dominant growth engine in diabetes and obesity care. The business quality is high: TTM gross margin is 83.4%, TTM operating margin is 49.7%, TTM net margin is 33.5%, and ROE is 92.6%, while revenue grew 47.7% and earnings grew 25.3% in the most recent quarter on a year-over-year bas…
Accumulation Zones
Metric CEG LLY
Zone Low $188.23 $906.00
Zone High $213.33 $1,026.80
In Buy Zone? No No
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