CAT vs XOM: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of Caterpillar Inc. and Exxon Mobil Corporation — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-05-13.
Caterpillar Inc. · Industrials
$912.14
-47.9% upside to fair value
Grade D
High Quality
VS
Exxon Mobil Corporation · Energy
$154.46
-40.5% upside to fair value
Grade C
QuantHub Verdict
XOM has more upside to fair value
(-40.5%).
XOM trades at a lower forward P/E
(23.2x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
CAT |
XOM |
| Current Price |
$912.14 |
$154.46 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$475.00 |
$91.87 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
-47.9%
|
-40.5%
|
| Market Cap |
$420.2B |
$642.0B |
| Forward P/E |
44.9x
|
23.2x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
30.0x
|
10.3x
|
| Price / Sales |
5.9x
|
2.0x
|
| Price / FCF |
36.7x
|
27.2x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+22.2%
|
-1.3%
|
| Gross Margin |
32.5%
|
21.7%
|
| Operating Margin |
16.6%
|
10.5%
|
| Return on Equity |
47.5%
|
11.0%
|
| Dividend Yield |
1.5% |
0% |
| FCF Yield |
2.73%
|
3.68%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Hold
|
Buy
|
Investment Thesis
Caterpillar is the world's leading manufacturer of construction and mining equipment, with diversified revenue across Construction Industries, Resource Industries, Energy & Transportation, and Cat Financial. Q1 2026 results reported April 30 showed revenue of $17.4 billion (+22.2% YoY) and EPS of $5.50 (+30.3% YoY), driven by powerful demand from data center build-outs (large engine and power gen…
Exxon Mobil Corporation operates as a global integrated oil and gas company with significant operations in upstream, energy products, chemical products, and specialty products segments. The company benefits from a highly experienced management team with decades of internal tenure, led by CEO Darren Woods. Despite strong cash flow generation and operational scale, Exxon is currently overvalued, tr…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
CAT |
XOM |
| Zone Low |
$356.00 |
$68.90 |
| Zone High |
$404.00 |
$78.09 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
No
|