CAT vs TTD: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of Caterpillar Inc. and The Trade Desk, Inc. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-09-21.
Caterpillar Inc. · Industrials
$808.99
-2.2% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade C
High Quality
VS
The Trade Desk, Inc. · Communication Services
$14.26
-1.8% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade C
High Quality
QuantHub Verdict
TTD has more upside to fair value
(-1.8%).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
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Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
CAT |
TTD |
| Current Price |
$808.99 |
$14.26 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$790.88 |
$14.00 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
-2.2%
|
-1.8%
|
| Market Cap |
$372.6B |
$6.7B |
| Forward P/E |
—
|
—
|
| EV / EBITDA |
23.6x
|
7.5x
|
| Price / Sales |
5.0x
|
2.2x
|
| Price / FCF |
41.4x
|
7.8x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+24.0%
|
+3.0%
|
| Gross Margin |
33.9%
|
83.0%
|
| Operating Margin |
17.5%
|
19.6%
|
| Return on Equity |
54.1%
|
16.1%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0.76% |
0% |
| FCF Yield |
2.41%
|
12.89%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Buy
|
Hold
|
Investment Thesis
Caterpillar is the world's premier manufacturer of heavy construction and mining equipment, diesel and natural gas power units, and industrial gas turbines, organized across Construction Industries, Resource Industries, Energy & Transportation, and Financial Products, with 118,000 employees and a century-old brand. Business quality is high: return on equity of 54.1%, TTM operating margin of 17.5%…
The Trade Desk operates a self-service, cloud-based demand-side platform that lets advertising agencies and their advertiser clients plan, buy and optimize data-driven digital campaigns across display, video, audio, native, social and connected TV, with 3,843 employees and a founder-led management team. Business quality is genuinely high on the unit economics: TTM gross margin of 83.0%, TTM opera…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
CAT |
TTD |
| Zone Low |
$593.16 |
$10.50 |
| Zone High |
$672.25 |
$11.90 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
No
|