CAT vs TSM: Which Is the Better Buy?

Side-by-side comparison of Caterpillar Inc. and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals. Updated 2026-04-10.
Caterpillar Inc. · Industrials
$792.65
-8.8% upside to fair value
Grade D
VS
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited · Technology
$365.90
-3.8% upside to fair value
Med Conviction Grade B+
QuantHub Verdict
TSM has more upside to fair value (-3.8%). TSM trades at a lower forward P/E (26.0x). These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice. See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
Metric CAT TSM
Current Price $792.65 $365.90
Fair Value Estimate $723.13 $352.00
Upside to Fair Value -8.8% -3.8%
Market Cap $370.9B $1,897.7B
Forward P/E 41.7x 26.0x
EV / EBITDA 27.2x 18.1x
Price / Sales 5.5x 13.3x
Price / FCF 36.1x 54.0x
Revenue Growth YoY +8.5% +33.0%
Gross Margin 32.3% 59.9%
Operating Margin 16.6% 50.8%
Return on Equity 45.1% 35.1%
Dividend Yield 0% 1.05%
FCF Yield 2.77% 1.85%
Analyst Consensus Buy Strong Buy
Investment Thesis
CAT — Caterpillar Inc.
Caterpillar Inc. is the world's leading manufacturer of construction and mining equipment, engines, and industrial machinery, with a strong global footprint and a record $67.6 billion in revenues for 2025. The company benefits from a durable competitive position supported by a broad product portfolio and a large installed base, but faces margin pressure from tariffs and cost inflation. Despite so…
TSM — Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited
TSMC remains the single most critical company in the global semiconductor supply chain, manufacturing virtually every leading-edge AI chip for NVIDIA, Apple, AMD, and the hyperscalers. The company delivered exceptional 2025 results with 33% revenue growth and 50% net income growth, driven by HPC surging to 55% of Q4 revenue. At the 3nm node, TSMC maintains production yields of 70-80% versus Samsu…
Accumulation Zones
Metric CAT TSM
Zone Low $542.35 $265.00
Zone High $614.66 $310.00
In Buy Zone? No No
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