CAT vs TSM: Which Is the Better Buy?

Side-by-side comparison of Caterpillar Inc. and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals. Updated 2026-07-17.
Caterpillar Inc. · Industrials
$940.12
-39.4% upside to fair value
Grade C High Quality
VS
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited · Technology
$409.74
+45.0% upside to fair value
Grade C High Quality
QuantHub Verdict
TSM has more upside to fair value (+45.0%). TSM trades at a lower forward P/E (38.8x). These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice. See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
Metric CAT TSM
Current Price $940.12 $409.74
Fair Value Estimate $569.47 $594.12
Upside to Fair Value -39.4% +45.0%
Market Cap $433.1B $2,125.1B
Forward P/E 46.6x 38.8x
EV / EBITDA 29.7x 17.6x
Price / Sales 6.1x 14.5x
Price / FCF 37.8x 58.4x
Revenue Growth YoY +22.2% +36.0%
Gross Margin 32.5% 61.9%
Operating Margin 16.6% 53.2%
Return on Equity 47.5% 36.9%
Dividend Yield 0% 0%
FCF Yield 2.64% 1.71%
Analyst Consensus Hold Strong Buy
Investment Thesis
CAT — Caterpillar Inc.
Caterpillar Inc. is a leading global manufacturer of agricultural and construction machinery, operating within the Industrials sector. The company demonstrates high business quality with a durable competitive moat supported by strong brand recognition, cost advantages, and intangible assets. It posted robust revenue growth of 22.2% and earnings growth of 27.3% in the most recent quarter, reflecti…
TSM — Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM) is a leading semiconductor foundry specializing in advanced chip manufacturing technologies. The company exhibits high business quality with a durable competitive moat driven by cost advantages, intangible assets, and strong brand recognition. It demonstrates robust profitability with a net margin of 47.0% and a return on equity of 36.9%. R…
Accumulation Zones
Metric CAT TSM
Zone Low $427.10 $445.59
Zone High $484.05 $505.00
In Buy Zone? No Yes
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