CAT vs TSLA: Which Is the Better Buy?

Side-by-side comparison of Caterpillar Inc. and Tesla, Inc. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals. Updated 2026-07-08.
Caterpillar Inc. · Industrials
$940.12
-39.4% upside to fair value
Grade C High Quality
VS
Tesla, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical
$400.49
-1.1% upside to fair value
Grade D
QuantHub Verdict
TSLA has more upside to fair value (-1.1%). CAT trades at a lower forward P/E (46.6x). These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice. See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
Metric CAT TSLA
Current Price $940.12 $400.49
Fair Value Estimate $569.47 $396.15
Upside to Fair Value -39.4% -1.1%
Market Cap $433.1B $1,504.1B
Forward P/E 46.6x 334.1x
EV / EBITDA 29.7x 124.0x
Price / Sales 6.1x 15.4x
Price / FCF 37.8x 214.9x
Revenue Growth YoY +22.2% +15.8%
Gross Margin 32.5% 19.1%
Operating Margin 16.6% 5.0%
Return on Equity 47.5% 4.8%
Dividend Yield 0% 0%
FCF Yield 2.64% 0.47%
Analyst Consensus Hold Buy
Investment Thesis
CAT — Caterpillar Inc.
Caterpillar Inc. is a leading global manufacturer of agricultural and construction machinery, operating within the Industrials sector. The company demonstrates high business quality with a durable competitive moat supported by strong brand recognition, cost advantages, and intangible assets. It posted robust revenue growth of 22.2% and earnings growth of 27.3% in the most recent quarter, reflecti…
TSLA — Tesla, Inc.
Tesla, Inc. is a leading global electric vehicle manufacturer and energy solutions provider, led by CEO Elon Musk since 2008. The company maintains a strong position in the EV market with a unique fast-charging and software ecosystem, although its EV market share is declining amid intensifying competition. Tesla's business quality is medium due to its narrowing moat and modest profitability, with…
Accumulation Zones
Metric CAT TSLA
Zone Low $427.10 $297.11
Zone High $484.05 $336.73
In Buy Zone? No No
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