CAT vs PYPL: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of Caterpillar Inc. and PayPal Holdings, Inc. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-05-05.
Caterpillar Inc. · Industrials
$794.65
+30.6% upside to fair value
Grade C
High Quality
VS
PayPal Holdings, Inc. · Financial Services
$50.39
+110.0% upside to fair value
Grade B
QuantHub Verdict
PYPL has more upside to fair value
(+110.0%).
PYPL trades at a lower forward P/E
(9.0x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
CAT |
PYPL |
| Current Price |
$794.65 |
$50.39 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$1,037.56 |
$105.84 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
+30.6%
|
+110.0%
|
| Market Cap |
$371.9B |
$45.3B |
| Forward P/E |
41.8x
|
9.0x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
27.3x
|
6.1x
|
| Price / Sales |
5.5x
|
1.4x
|
| Price / FCF |
36.2x
|
8.2x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+18.0%
|
+3.7%
|
| Gross Margin |
32.3%
|
46.6%
|
| Operating Margin |
16.6%
|
18.3%
|
| Return on Equity |
45.1%
|
25.9%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0% |
0% |
| FCF Yield |
2.76%
|
12.27%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Buy
|
Sell
|
Investment Thesis
Caterpillar Inc. is the world's leading manufacturer of construction and mining equipment, with a diversified revenue base across Energy and Transportation, Construction Industries, Resource Industries, and Financial Products. The company benefits from a durable competitive moat driven by its extensive global operations, strong brand, and operational excellence. Despite strong revenue growth of 1…
PayPal Holdings, Inc. operates as a leading digital payments platform offering transaction processing and value-added financial services such as consumer credit and BNPL products. The business quality is medium due to a narrowing competitive moat amid increasing pressure from big tech competitors and slowing growth in its core branded checkout segment. The stock is currently mispriced and cheap, …
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
CAT |
PYPL |
| Zone Low |
$778.17 |
$79.38 |
| Zone High |
$881.93 |
$89.96 |
| In Buy Zone? |
Yes
|
Yes
|