CAT vs NBIS: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of Caterpillar Inc. and Nebius Group N.V. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-09-21.
Caterpillar Inc. · Industrials
$808.99
-2.2% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade C
High Quality
VS
Nebius Group N.V. · Technology
$217.99
+45.0% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade B
QuantHub Verdict
NBIS has more upside to fair value
(+45.0%).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
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Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
CAT |
NBIS |
| Current Price |
$808.99 |
$217.99 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$790.88 |
$316.09 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
-2.2%
|
+45.0%
|
| Market Cap |
$372.6B |
$52.3B |
| Forward P/E |
—
|
—
|
| EV / EBITDA |
23.6x
|
56.8x
|
| Price / Sales |
5.0x
|
38.6x
|
| Price / FCF |
41.4x
|
—
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+24.0%
|
+454.0%
|
| Gross Margin |
33.9%
|
58.6%
|
| Operating Margin |
17.5%
|
-49.3%
|
| Return on Equity |
54.1%
|
0.9%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0.76% |
0% |
| FCF Yield |
2.41%
|
—
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Buy
|
Strong Buy
|
Investment Thesis
Caterpillar is the world's premier manufacturer of heavy construction and mining equipment, diesel and natural gas power units, and industrial gas turbines, organized across Construction Industries, Resource Industries, Energy & Transportation, and Financial Products, with 118,000 employees and a century-old brand. Business quality is high: return on equity of 54.1%, TTM operating margin of 17.5%…
Nebius Group N.V. is an Amsterdam-based AI infrastructure company, formerly Yandex N.V., that builds end-to-end GPU cloud clusters, cloud platforms and developer tools for demanding AI workloads, alongside Toloka AI data solutions, TripleTen education and Avride autonomous driving. The business is growing explosively, with revenue up 454.0% year over year in the most recent quarter, and it has de…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
CAT |
NBIS |
| Zone Low |
$593.16 |
$237.07 |
| Zone High |
$672.25 |
$268.68 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
Yes
|