CAT vs NBIS: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of Caterpillar Inc. and Nebius Group N.V. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-08-06.
Caterpillar Inc. · Industrials
$940.12
-39.4% upside to fair value
Grade C
High Quality
VS
Nebius Group N.V. · Technology
$218.99
+11.9% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade C+
QuantHub Verdict
NBIS has more upside to fair value
(+11.9%).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
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Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
CAT |
NBIS |
| Current Price |
$940.12 |
$218.99 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$569.47 |
$245.00 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
-39.4%
|
+11.9%
|
| Market Cap |
$433.1B |
$52.6B |
| Forward P/E |
46.6x
|
—
|
| EV / EBITDA |
29.7x
|
—
|
| Price / Sales |
6.1x
|
59.9x
|
| Price / FCF |
37.8x
|
—
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+22.2%
|
+684.0%
|
| Gross Margin |
32.5%
|
48.0%
|
| Operating Margin |
16.6%
|
-68.8%
|
| Return on Equity |
47.5%
|
—
|
| Dividend Yield |
0% |
0% |
| FCF Yield |
2.64%
|
-4.7%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Hold
|
Buy
|
Investment Thesis
Caterpillar Inc. is a leading global manufacturer of agricultural and construction machinery, operating within the Industrials sector. The company demonstrates high business quality with a durable competitive moat supported by strong brand recognition, cost advantages, and intangible assets. It posted robust revenue growth of 22.2% and earnings growth of 27.3% in the most recent quarter, reflecti…
Nebius Group is a fast-scaling neocloud GPU infrastructure provider spun out of Yandex's international assets, positioned at the center of the AI compute buildout with a validated capital relationship to Nvidia, which holds a 9.3% stake following a $2 billion investment. Revenue grew 684% year over year in Q1 2026 to $399 million, core AI cloud ARR reached $1.92 billion, and the company has locke…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
CAT |
NBIS |
| Zone Low |
$427.10 |
$184.00 |
| Zone High |
$484.05 |
$208.00 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
No
|