CAT vs MA: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of Caterpillar Inc. and Mastercard Incorporated — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-05-13.
Caterpillar Inc. · Industrials
$912.14
-47.9% upside to fair value
Grade D
High Quality
VS
Mastercard Incorporated · Financial Services
$499.81
+5.0% upside to fair value
Grade B+
High Quality
QuantHub Verdict
MA has more upside to fair value
(+5.0%).
MA trades at a lower forward P/E
(28.6x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
CAT |
MA |
| Current Price |
$912.14 |
$499.81 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$475.00 |
$525.00 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
-47.9%
|
+5.0%
|
| Market Cap |
$420.2B |
$441.6B |
| Forward P/E |
44.9x
|
28.6x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
30.0x
|
21.3x
|
| Price / Sales |
5.9x
|
13.0x
|
| Price / FCF |
36.7x
|
24.9x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+22.2%
|
+15.8%
|
| Gross Margin |
32.5%
|
83.0%
|
| Operating Margin |
16.6%
|
59.4%
|
| Return on Equity |
47.5%
|
206.1%
|
| Dividend Yield |
1.5% |
0.6% |
| FCF Yield |
2.73%
|
4.01%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Hold
|
Strong Buy
|
Investment Thesis
Caterpillar is the world's leading manufacturer of construction and mining equipment, with diversified revenue across Construction Industries, Resource Industries, Energy & Transportation, and Cat Financial. Q1 2026 results reported April 30 showed revenue of $17.4 billion (+22.2% YoY) and EPS of $5.50 (+30.3% YoY), driven by powerful demand from data center build-outs (large engine and power gen…
Mastercard is one of two global payment network duopolists alongside Visa, with structurally high margins (83% gross, 59% operating, 46% net), powerful network effects, and durable secular tailwinds from the ongoing cash-to-card and card-to-digital migration. Q1 2026 results reported April 30 showed revenue of $8.40 billion (+15.8% YoY) and EPS of $4.35 (+20.8% YoY), driven by continued cross-bor…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
CAT |
MA |
| Zone Low |
$356.00 |
$393.75 |
| Zone High |
$404.00 |
$446.25 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
No
|