CAT vs LLY: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of Caterpillar Inc. and Eli Lilly and Company β fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-05-13.
Caterpillar Inc. Β· Industrials
$912.14
-47.9% upside to fair value
Grade D
High Quality
VS
Eli Lilly and Company Β· Healthcare
$934.34
+17.6% upside to fair value
Grade B
High Quality
QuantHub Verdict
LLY has more upside to fair value
(+17.6%).
LLY trades at a lower forward P/E
(33.1x).
These are model outputs β not personalized investment advice.
See all research β
Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
CAT |
LLY |
| Current Price |
$912.14 |
$934.34 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$475.00 |
$1,098.43 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
-47.9%
|
+17.6%
|
| Market Cap |
$420.2B |
$882.8B |
| Forward P/E |
44.9x
|
33.1x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
30.0x
|
27.9x
|
| Price / Sales |
5.9x
|
12.2x
|
| Price / FCF |
36.7x
|
65.0x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+22.2%
|
+55.5%
|
| Gross Margin |
32.5%
|
82.7%
|
| Operating Margin |
16.6%
|
46.3%
|
| Return on Equity |
47.5%
|
101.3%
|
| Dividend Yield |
1.5% |
0% |
| FCF Yield |
2.73%
|
1.54%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Hold
|
Strong Buy
|
Investment Thesis
Caterpillar is the world's leading manufacturer of construction and mining equipment, with diversified revenue across Construction Industries, Resource Industries, Energy & Transportation, and Cat Financial. Q1 2026 results reported April 30 showed revenue of $17.4 billion (+22.2% YoY) and EPS of $5.50 (+30.3% YoY), driven by powerful demand from data center build-outs (large engine and power genβ¦
Eli Lilly and Company is a leading global pharmaceutical firm with a dominant position in the diabetes and obesity markets, driven by its blockbuster GLP-1 drugs Mounjaro and Zepbound which generated $36.5 billion in FY2025. The company reported $65.2 billion in total revenue for 2025, making it the top pharma by revenue globally. It exhibits high business quality with a durable competitive moat β¦
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
CAT |
LLY |
| Zone Low |
$356.00 |
$823.82 |
| Zone High |
$404.00 |
$933.67 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
No
|