CAT vs HD: Which Is the Better Buy?

Side-by-side comparison of Caterpillar Inc. and The Home Depot, Inc. β€” fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals. Updated 2026-05-20.
Caterpillar Inc. Β· Industrials
$912.14
-47.9% upside to fair value
Grade D High Quality
VS
The Home Depot, Inc. Β· Consumer Cyclical
$302.44
+22.0% upside to fair value
Med Conviction Grade B+
QuantHub Verdict
HD has more upside to fair value (+22.0%). HD trades at a lower forward P/E (20.5x). These are model outputs β€” not personalized investment advice. See all research β†’
Valuation & Fundamentals
Metric CAT HD
Current Price $912.14 $302.44
Fair Value Estimate $475.00 $369.00
Upside to Fair Value -47.9% +22.0%
Market Cap $420.2B $301.2B
Forward P/E 44.9x 20.5x
EV / EBITDA 30.0x 16.5x
Price / Sales 5.9x 2.0x
Price / FCF 36.7x 26.6x
Revenue Growth YoY +22.2% +4.8%
Gross Margin 32.5% 33.3%
Operating Margin 16.6% 12.7%
Return on Equity 47.5% 110.5%
Dividend Yield 1.5% 2.72%
FCF Yield 2.73% 3.75%
Analyst Consensus Hold Buy
Investment Thesis
CAT β€” Caterpillar Inc.
Caterpillar is the world's leading manufacturer of construction and mining equipment, with diversified revenue across Construction Industries, Resource Industries, Energy & Transportation, and Cat Financial. Q1 2026 results reported April 30 showed revenue of $17.4 billion (+22.2% YoY) and EPS of $5.50 (+30.3% YoY), driven by powerful demand from data center build-outs (large engine and power gen…
HD β€” The Home Depot, Inc.
Home Depot remains the world's largest home improvement retailer with 2,350+ stores, dominant 52% market share, and an expanding Pro contractor segment bolstered by the SRS Distribution acquisition. Q1 FY2026 results released May 19 beat both the top and bottom line, with revenue of $41.77B up 4.8% year over year and adjusted EPS of $3.43 versus the $3.41 consensus. Comp sales grew only 0.6% howe…
Accumulation Zones
Metric CAT HD
Zone Low $356.00 $276.75
Zone High $404.00 $313.65
In Buy Zone? No Yes
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