CAT vs COP: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of Caterpillar Inc. and ConocoPhillips — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-05-13.
Caterpillar Inc. · Industrials
$912.14
-47.9% upside to fair value
Grade D
High Quality
VS
ConocoPhillips · Energy
$125.78
-2.1% upside to fair value
Grade C
QuantHub Verdict
COP has more upside to fair value
(-2.1%).
COP trades at a lower forward P/E
(21.0x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
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Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
CAT |
COP |
| Current Price |
$912.14 |
$125.78 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$475.00 |
$123.15 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
-47.9%
|
-2.1%
|
| Market Cap |
$420.2B |
$153.3B |
| Forward P/E |
44.9x
|
21.0x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
30.0x
|
7.5x
|
| Price / Sales |
5.9x
|
2.6x
|
| Price / FCF |
36.7x
|
8.4x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+22.2%
|
-2.5%
|
| Gross Margin |
32.5%
|
33.1%
|
| Operating Margin |
16.6%
|
25.4%
|
| Return on Equity |
47.5%
|
11.3%
|
| Dividend Yield |
1.5% |
0% |
| FCF Yield |
2.73%
|
11.96%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Hold
|
Strong Buy
|
Investment Thesis
Caterpillar is the world's leading manufacturer of construction and mining equipment, with diversified revenue across Construction Industries, Resource Industries, Energy & Transportation, and Cat Financial. Q1 2026 results reported April 30 showed revenue of $17.4 billion (+22.2% YoY) and EPS of $5.50 (+30.3% YoY), driven by powerful demand from data center build-outs (large engine and power gen…
ConocoPhillips is a leading independent oil and gas exploration and production company with a strong focus on low-cost shale assets and sustainability initiatives. The company benefits from a durable competitive position due to its cost advantage and early ESG leadership, but faces near-term earnings pressure as revenue declined 2.5% and earnings fell 23.4% in the most recent quarter year-over-ye…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
CAT |
COP |
| Zone Low |
$356.00 |
$92.36 |
| Zone High |
$404.00 |
$104.68 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
No
|