BLK vs VST: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of BlackRock, Inc. and Vistra Corp. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-09-21.
BlackRock, Inc. · Financial Services
$1,069.78
+44.0% upside to fair value
High Conviction
Grade A
High Quality
VS
Vistra Corp. · Utilities
$140.67
-23.0% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade C
QuantHub Verdict
BLK has more upside to fair value
(+44.0%).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
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Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
BLK |
VST |
| Current Price |
$1,069.78 |
$140.67 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$1,540.94 |
$108.27 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
+44.0%
|
-23.0%
|
| Market Cap |
$165.8B |
$47.4B |
| Forward P/E |
—
|
—
|
| EV / EBITDA |
15.9x
|
10.3x
|
| Price / Sales |
6.1x
|
3.0x
|
| Price / FCF |
71.5x
|
34.7x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+30.6%
|
-5.5%
|
| Gross Margin |
55.7%
|
13.0%
|
| Operating Margin |
31.1%
|
2.3%
|
| Return on Equity |
11.7%
|
41.5%
|
| Dividend Yield |
2.09% |
0.65% |
| FCF Yield |
1.4%
|
2.88%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Strong Buy
|
Strong Buy
|
Investment Thesis
BlackRock is the world's largest asset manager, overseeing $15.345 trillion in assets across ETFs, active strategies, alternatives, and the Aladdin investment-technology platform, serving institutional, intermediary, and individual clients globally. The business quality is high: TTM gross margin of 55.7%, operating margin of 31.1%, and net margin of 24.1% reflect the scalability of a fee-based mo…
Vistra Corp. is a vertically integrated independent power producer and retail electricity supplier operating roughly 38,700 megawatts of generation across natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar, and battery storage, serving about 4.3 million retail customers in 20 states and the District of Columbia. The business quality is mixed: the diversified PJM and ERCOT fleet plus retail load is a genuine struc…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
BLK |
VST |
| Zone Low |
$1,155.70 |
$81.20 |
| Zone High |
$1,309.80 |
$92.03 |
| In Buy Zone? |
Yes
|
No
|