ASML vs XOM: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of ASML Holding N.V. and Exxon Mobil Corporation — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-09-24.
ASML Holding N.V. · Technology
$1,744.61
-0.7% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade C
High Quality
VS
Exxon Mobil Corporation · Energy
$163.18
+10.3% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade B
High Quality
QuantHub Verdict
XOM has more upside to fair value
(+10.3%).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
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Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
ASML |
XOM |
| Current Price |
$1,744.61 |
$163.18 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$1,732.49 |
$179.98 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
-0.7%
|
+10.3%
|
| Market Cap |
$672.4B |
$676.3B |
| Forward P/E |
—
|
—
|
| EV / EBITDA |
42.0x
|
9.9x
|
| Price / Sales |
19.0x
|
1.9x
|
| Price / FCF |
67.2x
|
22.3x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+21.3%
|
+44.1%
|
| Gross Margin |
52.7%
|
25.1%
|
| Operating Margin |
35.4%
|
10.7%
|
| Return on Equity |
52.4%
|
12.7%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0.51% |
2.52% |
| FCF Yield |
1.49%
|
4.49%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Buy
|
Hold
|
Investment Thesis
ASML Holding N.V. is the Dutch semiconductor equipment maker that supplies lithography, metrology, and inspection systems, including the extreme ultraviolet (EUV) machines required to pattern the most advanced logic and memory chips, and it holds what current coverage describes as a near-monopoly on those EUV tools. The business quality is genuinely high: TTM gross margin of 52.7%, TTM operating …
Exxon Mobil is the largest integrated oil and gas major in the United States, operating across Upstream exploration and production, Downstream refining and fuels marketing, and Chemical manufacturing, with roughly 57,900 employees and a portfolio that spans conventional crude and natural gas, LNG, petrochemicals, and early-stage carbon capture, hydrogen, and biofuels ventures. The business qualit…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
ASML |
XOM |
| Zone Low |
$1,299.37 |
$134.98 |
| Zone High |
$1,472.62 |
$152.98 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
No
|