ASML vs VST: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of ASML Holding N.V. and Vistra Corp. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-09-24.
ASML Holding N.V. · Technology
$1,744.61
-0.7% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade C
High Quality
VS
Vistra Corp. · Utilities
$140.67
-23.0% upside to fair value
Med Conviction
Grade C
QuantHub Verdict
ASML has more upside to fair value
(-0.7%).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
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Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
ASML |
VST |
| Current Price |
$1,744.61 |
$140.67 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$1,732.49 |
$108.27 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
-0.7%
|
-23.0%
|
| Market Cap |
$672.4B |
$47.4B |
| Forward P/E |
—
|
—
|
| EV / EBITDA |
42.0x
|
10.3x
|
| Price / Sales |
19.0x
|
3.0x
|
| Price / FCF |
67.2x
|
34.7x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+21.3%
|
-5.5%
|
| Gross Margin |
52.7%
|
13.0%
|
| Operating Margin |
35.4%
|
2.3%
|
| Return on Equity |
52.4%
|
41.5%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0.51% |
0.65% |
| FCF Yield |
1.49%
|
2.88%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Buy
|
Strong Buy
|
Investment Thesis
ASML Holding N.V. is the Dutch semiconductor equipment maker that supplies lithography, metrology, and inspection systems, including the extreme ultraviolet (EUV) machines required to pattern the most advanced logic and memory chips, and it holds what current coverage describes as a near-monopoly on those EUV tools. The business quality is genuinely high: TTM gross margin of 52.7%, TTM operating …
Vistra Corp. is a vertically integrated independent power producer and retail electricity supplier operating roughly 38,700 megawatts of generation across natural gas, nuclear, coal, solar, and battery storage, serving about 4.3 million retail customers in 20 states and the District of Columbia. The business quality is mixed: the diversified PJM and ERCOT fleet plus retail load is a genuine struc…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
ASML |
VST |
| Zone Low |
$1,299.37 |
$81.20 |
| Zone High |
$1,472.62 |
$92.03 |
| In Buy Zone? |
No
|
No
|