ASML vs V: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of ASML Holding N.V. and Visa Inc. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-04-22.
ASML Holding N.V. · Technology
$1,458.97
+65.1% upside to fair value
Grade B
High Quality
VS
Visa Inc. · Financial Services
$304.36
+37.7% upside to fair value
High Conviction
Grade A-
QuantHub Verdict
ASML has more upside to fair value
(+65.1%).
V trades at a lower forward P/E
(23.7x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
ASML |
V |
| Current Price |
$1,458.97 |
$304.36 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$2,408.73 |
$419.00 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
+65.1%
|
+37.7%
|
| Market Cap |
$562.3B |
$586.8B |
| Forward P/E |
48.3x
|
23.7x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
37.6x
|
22.3x
|
| Price / Sales |
14.4x
|
14.2x
|
| Price / FCF |
54.4x
|
25.6x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+13.2%
|
+11.3%
|
| Gross Margin |
52.6%
|
81.08%
|
| Operating Margin |
34.8%
|
59.18%
|
| Return on Equity |
52.0%
|
54.22%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0% |
0.83% |
| FCF Yield |
1.84%
|
3.91%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Strong Buy
|
Strong Buy
|
Investment Thesis
ASML Holding N.V. is a leading technology company specializing in semiconductor manufacturing equipment, particularly extreme ultraviolet lithography machines which hold a near-monopoly position. The company benefits from a durable competitive moat driven by its technological leadership, high barriers to entry, and strong demand from semiconductor manufacturers globally, especially in China. Desp…
Visa is the world's dominant payment network with $40B in net revenue (FY2025), 50%+ net margins, and a capital-light toll-booth model processing $14.2T in annual payment volume across 257.5B transactions. The business compounds at 10-12% revenue CAGR with operating leverage pushing EPS growth to 12-15% over a cycle, funded by $21.6B in annual free cash flow against only $1.5B in capex. At 28.0x …
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
ASML |
V |
| Zone Low |
$1,806.55 |
$265.00 |
| Zone High |
$2,047.42 |
$300.00 |
| In Buy Zone? |
Yes
|
No
|