ASML vs UPS: Which Is the Better Buy?
Side-by-side comparison of ASML Holding N.V. and United Parcel Service, Inc. — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals.
Updated 2026-07-15.
ASML Holding N.V. · Technology
$1,775.64
+45.0% upside to fair value
Grade B
High Quality
VS
United Parcel Service, Inc. · Industrials
$105.00
+12.9% upside to fair value
Grade B
QuantHub Verdict
ASML has more upside to fair value
(+45.0%).
UPS trades at a lower forward P/E
(17.0x).
These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice.
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Valuation & Fundamentals
| Metric |
ASML |
UPS |
| Current Price |
$1,775.64 |
$105.00 |
| Fair Value Estimate |
$2,574.68 |
$118.53 |
| Upside to Fair Value |
+45.0%
|
+12.9%
|
| Market Cap |
$684.4B |
$89.2B |
| Forward P/E |
62.1x
|
17.0x
|
| EV / EBITDA |
47.1x
|
9.6x
|
| Price / Sales |
18.4x
|
1.0x
|
| Price / FCF |
69.1x
|
19.8x
|
| Revenue Growth YoY |
+13.2%
|
-1.6%
|
| Gross Margin |
52.6%
|
17.8%
|
| Operating Margin |
34.8%
|
8.5%
|
| Return on Equity |
52.0%
|
33.0%
|
| Dividend Yield |
0% |
0% |
| FCF Yield |
1.45%
|
5.06%
|
| Analyst Consensus |
Strong Buy
|
Buy
|
Investment Thesis
ASML Holding N.V. is a leading semiconductor equipment manufacturer specializing in photolithography systems critical for chip production. The company exhibits high business quality with a durable competitive moat supported by advanced technology and strong market position, reflected in a 52% return on equity and robust margins including a 52.6% gross margin and 29.7% net margin. Despite strong r…
United Parcel Service, Inc. operates as a global integrated freight and logistics company with a strong presence in U.S. domestic package delivery, international package services, and supply chain solutions. The company benefits from a durable competitive moat supported by its extensive network capabilities, premium service positioning, and strategic focus on higher-margin segments such as health…
Accumulation Zones
| Metric |
ASML |
UPS |
| Zone Low |
$1,931.01 |
$88.90 |
| Zone High |
$2,188.48 |
$100.75 |
| In Buy Zone? |
Yes
|
No
|