ASML vs TSM: Which Is the Better Buy?

Side-by-side comparison of ASML Holding N.V. and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited — fair value, conviction, valuation metrics, and QuantHub research signals. Updated 2026-04-22.
ASML Holding N.V. · Technology
$1,458.97
+45.0% upside to fair value
Grade B High Quality
VS
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited · Technology
$366.24
+45.0% upside to fair value
Grade C High Quality
QuantHub Verdict
TSM trades at a lower forward P/E (27.2x). These are model outputs — not personalized investment advice. See all research →
Valuation & Fundamentals
Metric ASML TSM
Current Price $1,458.97 $366.24
Fair Value Estimate $2,115.51 $531.05
Upside to Fair Value +45.0% +45.0%
Market Cap $562.3B $1,899.5B
Forward P/E 48.3x 27.2x
EV / EBITDA 37.6x 17.3x
Price / Sales 14.4x 12.8x
Price / FCF 54.4x 51.6x
Revenue Growth YoY +13.2% +36.5%
Gross Margin 52.6% 61.9%
Operating Margin 34.8% 53.2%
Return on Equity 52.0% 36.9%
Dividend Yield 0% 0%
FCF Yield 1.84% 1.94%
Analyst Consensus Strong Buy Strong Buy
Investment Thesis
ASML — ASML Holding N.V.
ASML Holding N.V. is a leading technology company specializing in semiconductor manufacturing equipment, particularly extreme ultraviolet lithography machines which hold a near-monopoly position. The company benefits from a durable competitive moat driven by its technological leadership, high barriers to entry, and strong demand from semiconductor manufacturers globally, especially in China. Desp…
TSM — Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSMC) is the world's leading pure-play semiconductor foundry, commanding approximately 60% of the global advanced node foundry market. The company benefits from a durable competitive moat driven by its pioneering foundry model, massive scale, advanced manufacturing capabilities, and strong customer relationships with major technology firms. TSMC…
Accumulation Zones
Metric ASML TSM
Zone Low $1,586.63 $398.29
Zone High $1,798.18 $451.39
In Buy Zone? Yes Yes
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